Philadelphia Phillies
51% win
0
pred 4
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
49% win
6
pred 4.4
2025-05-09 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Enrique Hernández UTIL 28.0 $3.0k 9.3
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 32.0 $6.3k 5.1
Andy Pages UTIL 18.0 $4.3k 4.2
Miguel Rojas UTIL 9.0 $2.3k 3.9
Mookie Betts UTIL 13.0 $5.6k 2.3
Freddie Freeman UTIL 14.0 $6.1k 2.3
Will Smith UTIL 8.0 $4.1k 2.0
Tanner Scott UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Max Muncy UTIL 5.0 $3.3k 1.5
Michael Conforto UTIL 4.0 $3.1k 1.3
Luis García UTIL 3.8 $4.0k 1.0
Hyeseong Kim UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Alex Vesia UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
PHI 51% 49% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.4% 15.6%
6.5 80.0% 20.0%
7.5 70.4% 29.6%
8.5 62.7% 37.3%
9.5 53.2% 46.8%
10.5 45.7% 54.3%
11.5 36.5% 63.5%
12.5 30.0% 70.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversPHI covers
CLE -1.5 31.9% 42.4%
CLE -2.5 21.8% 31.8%
CLE -3.5 14.8% 23.8%
Team Totals
LineCLEPHI
O 3.5 61.4% 71.2%
O 4.5 48.7% 57.3%
O 5.5 37.5% 46.2%
O 6.5 27.6% 33.5%
Odds
moneyline PHI 51% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookPHIImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -122 52.6% +102 47.4%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs CLE 4.4 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs PHI 4.0 BET ✓
BookPHICLE
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 10.0 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.0 8.6 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.0 8.2 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Rafael Marchán C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.6 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Nola Starter 6.0 6.1 5.9 2.3 3.2 51% 100% 18.0 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.7 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.6 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.9 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gavin Williams Starter 5.5 5.5 5.9 2.6 3.4 42% 100% 16.6 —