Chicago Cubs
48% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
New York Mets
52% win
7
pred 3.6
2025-05-09 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brett Baty OF 7.4 $2.6k 2.9
Nicky Lopez OF 5.9 $2.2k 2.7
Juan Soto OF 12.2 $5.2k 2.4
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.7 $4.3k 2.3
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.9 $3.1k 2.2
Jeff McNeil OF 7.3 $3.4k 2.2
Pete Alonso OF 12.2 $5.8k 2.1
Francisco Alvarez OF 7.9 $3.8k 2.1
Clay Holmes SP 15.4 $8.2k 1.9
Francisco Lindor OF 10.0 $5.5k 1.8
Luisangel Acuña OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Ian Happ OF 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Dansby Swanson OF 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Michael Busch OF 7.6 $4.9k 1.6
Nico Hoerner OF 6.3 $4.2k 1.5
Seiya Suzuki OF 8.4 $5.6k 1.5
Kyle Tucker OF 9.0 $6.2k 1.5
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 6.9 $4.8k 1.4
Jameson Taillon SP 11.5 $8.0k 1.4
Carson Kelly OF 7.7 $5.8k 1.3
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
CHC 48% 52% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.2% 17.8%
6.5 74.8% 25.2%
7.5 65.1% 34.9%
8.5 57.3% 42.7%
9.5 46.2% 53.8%
10.5 37.9% 62.1%
11.5 29.4% 70.6%
12.5 24.5% 75.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversCHC covers
NYM -1.5 37.7% 35.3%
NYM -2.5 27.0% 25.8%
NYM -3.5 19.9% 18.7%
Team Totals
LineNYMCHC
O 3.5 63.2% 60.6%
O 4.5 50.4% 47.2%
O 5.5 36.8% 35.4%
O 6.5 26.8% 25.0%
Odds
moneyline NYM 52% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookCHCImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CHC 4.8 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs NYM 3.6 BET ✗
BookCHCNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -166 -1.5 +140
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 9.0 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Ian Happ LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.0 —
Carson Kelly C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
Nicky Lopez 2B 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jameson Taillon Starter 5.6 5.1 5.4 1.9 2.9 44% 100% 11.5 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 12.2 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.2 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 10.0 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.3 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 7.0 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clay Holmes Starter 5.7 5.6 5.5 2.4 2.9 49% 100% 15.4 —