St. Louis Cardinals
54% win
10
pred 4
FINAL
Washington Nationals
46% win
0
pred 4.3
2025-05-09 Nationals Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Pedro Pagés OF 8.0 $3.0k 2.7
Jordan Walker OF 8.0 $3.1k 2.6
Masyn Winn OF 9.0 $3.5k 2.6
Willson Contreras OF 9.4 $3.7k 2.5
Josh Bell OF 7.8 $3.2k 2.4
Nathaniel Lowe OF 9.9 $4.3k 2.3
Lars Nootbaar OF 10.5 $4.7k 2.2
Jacob Young OF 6.4 $2.9k 2.2
Nolan Arenado OF 8.4 $3.8k 2.2
Dylan Crews OF 7.3 $3.4k 2.2
Iván Herrera OF 8.7 $4.1k 2.1
Erick Fedde SP 13.2 $6.3k 2.1
Brendan Donovan OF 8.6 $4.4k 2.0
James Wood OF 10.5 $5.5k 1.9
Keibert Ruiz OF 7.6 $4.2k 1.8
Amed Rosario OF 7.1 $4.1k 1.7
CJ Abrams OF 9.3 $5.4k 1.7
Victor Scott II OF 6.5 $4.0k 1.6
Luis García OF 6.1 $3.8k 1.6
Mitchell Parker SP 11.7 $7.5k 1.6
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+474 · $474 per $100
LOSS
STL 54% 46% WSH
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.9% 17.1%
6.5 76.5% 23.5%
7.5 65.2% 34.8%
8.5 58.2% 41.8%
9.5 49.4% 50.6%
10.5 41.2% 58.8%
11.5 33.0% 67.0%
12.5 27.3% 72.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineWSH coversSTL covers
WSH -1.5 35.7% 37.8%
WSH -2.5 26.4% 28.5%
WSH -3.5 17.9% 21.7%
Team Totals
LineWSHSTL
O 3.5 63.5% 63.9%
O 4.5 50.7% 52.1%
O 5.5 38.7% 39.3%
O 6.5 25.2% 29.8%
Odds
moneyline STL 54% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookSTLImpl%WSHImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs WSH 4.3 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs STL 4.0 BET ✗
BookSTLWSH
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -110 U 8.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.5 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.4 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.0 —
Iván Herrera C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.6 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.4 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter 6.0 5.0 6.2 2.5 3.4 48% 100% 13.2 —
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.9 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.8 9.3 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.6 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Amed Rosario 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
Jacob Young CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 6.4 —
Luis García P 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitchell Parker Starter 6.1 4.9 6.1 2.4 3.2 48% 100% 11.7 —