Texas Rangers
46% win
0
pred 5
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
55% win
5
pred 4.3
2025-05-08 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Joc Pederson OF 8.7 $2.5k 3.5
Abraham Toro OF 7.4 $2.2k 3.3
Tucker Barnhart OF 6.0 $2.0k 3.0
Dustin Harris OF 7.3 $2.6k 2.8
Marcus Semien OF 7.9 $3.0k 2.6
Adolis García OF 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Carlos Narváez OF 7.4 $3.3k 2.2
Josh Smith OF 8.1 $3.8k 2.1
Evan Carter OF 7.3 $3.5k 2.1
Rafael Devers OF 9.9 $4.8k 2.1
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 7.1 $3.5k 2.0
Brayan Bello SP 15.7 $8.0k 2.0
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.6 $5.0k 1.9
Kristian Campbell OF 8.7 $4.6k 1.9
Josh Jung OF 6.7 $3.6k 1.9
Trevor Story OF 7.6 $4.2k 1.8
Alex Bregman OF 9.9 $5.5k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 9.9 $5.6k 1.8
Wyatt Langford OF 8.4 $4.9k 1.7
Jack Leiter SP 10.1 $7.0k 1.4
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Texas Rangers +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.4 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
TEX 46% 55% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.6% 11.4%
6.5 84.1% 15.9%
7.5 74.6% 25.4%
8.5 66.7% 33.3%
9.5 57.7% 42.3%
10.5 49.4% 50.6%
11.5 39.6% 60.4%
12.5 31.2% 68.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversTEX covers
BOS -1.5 42.3% 31.2%
BOS -2.5 32.8% 23.0%
BOS -3.5 24.1% 16.2%
Team Totals
LineBOSTEX
O 3.5 74.1% 64.0%
O 4.5 60.0% 52.4%
O 5.5 47.9% 40.8%
O 6.5 35.8% 29.3%
Odds
moneyline BOS 55% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookTEXImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs TEX 5.0 no bet
TEX +1.5: TEX 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs BOS 4.3 BET ✗
BookTEXBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -155 -1.5 +130
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -115 U 9.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.0 —
Joc Pederson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Wyatt Langford LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Josh Smith SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 7.9 —
Dustin Harris CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Evan Carter CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Tucker Barnhart C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Leiter Starter 4.6 4.3 5.3 2.1 3.3 31% 100% 10.1 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jarren Duran LF 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 9.9 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.9 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.6 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.7 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Abraham Toro 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.4 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.9 5.6 5.9 2.4 3.2 54% 100% 15.7 —