Baltimore Orioles
46% win
2
pred 4.7
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
54% win
5
pred 3.5
2025-05-08 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Christian Vázquez OF 7.6 $2.2k 3.5
Ramón Laureano OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Brooks Lee OF 8.4 $3.0k 2.8
Bailey Ober SP 22.0 $8.0k 2.7
Coby Mayo OF 5.2 $2.0k 2.6
Willi Castro OF 8.2 $3.3k 2.5
Emmanuel Rivera OF 5.9 $2.5k 2.4
Ty France OF 8.5 $3.6k 2.4
Trevor Larnach OF 9.1 $3.9k 2.3
Heston Kjerstad OF 7.1 $3.1k 2.3
Carlos Correa OF 8.4 $3.7k 2.3
Ryan Mountcastle OF 6.9 $3.1k 2.2
Harrison Bader OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Jackson Holliday OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Maverick Handley OF 4.4 $2.1k 2.1
Byron Buxton OF 10.4 $5.1k 2.1
Ryan O'Hearn OF 8.1 $4.4k 1.8
Royce Lewis OF 8.3 $4.6k 1.8
Gunnar Henderson OF 9.2 $5.2k 1.8
Dean Kremer SP 11.0 $6.5k 1.7
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
BAL 46% 54% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.6% 19.4%
6.5 74.4% 25.6%
7.5 63.6% 36.4%
8.5 54.6% 45.4%
9.5 44.2% 55.8%
10.5 36.6% 63.4%
11.5 27.6% 72.4%
12.5 22.6% 77.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversBAL covers
MIN -1.5 42.7% 28.5%
MIN -2.5 31.2% 20.8%
MIN -3.5 20.5% 13.6%
Team Totals
LineMINBAL
O 3.5 66.3% 55.5%
O 4.5 54.0% 43.4%
O 5.5 40.4% 30.2%
O 6.5 27.8% 20.9%
Odds
moneyline MIN 54% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookBALImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs BAL 4.7 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs MIN 3.5 BET ✗
BookBALMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.2 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.1 7.5 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.4 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.1 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.9 —
Emmanuel Rivera 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
Coby Mayo 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 5.2 —
Maverick Handley C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dean Kremer Starter 5.9 5.3 6.0 2.0 3.3 36% 100% 11.0 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 10.4 —
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.4 —
Brooks Lee 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.4 —
Royce Lewis 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Ober Starter 6.3 6.7 6.1 1.6 3.0 58% 100% 22.0 —