Cincinnati Reds
50% win
4
pred 4.2
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
50% win
3
pred 3.8
2025-05-07 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
TJ Friedl UTIL 30.0 $4.2k 7.1
Drake Baldwin UTIL 17.0 $3.3k 5.2
Gavin Lux UTIL 12.0 $3.6k 3.3
Brent Suter UTIL 11.9 $4.0k 3.0
Austin Riley UTIL 10.0 $4.8k 2.1
Aaron Bummer UTIL 7.8 $4.0k 1.9
Hunter Greene UTIL 17.6 $9.8k 1.8
Tyler Stephenson UTIL 7.0 $4.8k 1.5
Emilio Pagán UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Grant Holmes UTIL 9.2 $7.4k 1.2
Matt McLain UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
Matt Olson UTIL 5.0 $4.6k 1.1
Luis Mey UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Tony Santillan UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 4.0 $4.4k 0.9
Eli White UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Enyel De Los Santos UTIL 6.3 $7.4k 0.8
Michael Harris II UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Santiago Espinal UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 3.0 $5.9k 0.5
Ozzie Albies UTIL 2.0 $4.6k 0.4
Dylan Lee UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Taylor Rogers UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 47%
+105 · $105 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves +1.5
RL · 1.1 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Atlanta Braves +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+489 · $489 per $100
LOSS
CIN 50% 50% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.3% 17.7%
6.5 75.7% 24.3%
7.5 65.6% 34.4%
8.5 56.1% 43.9%
9.5 46.3% 53.7%
10.5 39.5% 60.5%
11.5 30.8% 69.2%
12.5 25.5% 74.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversCIN covers
ATL -1.5 38.1% 34.0%
ATL -2.5 27.5% 25.7%
ATL -3.5 17.2% 19.6%
Team Totals
LineATLCIN
O 3.5 63.4% 62.8%
O 4.5 50.0% 50.5%
O 5.5 36.9% 37.3%
O 6.5 26.9% 25.8%
Odds
moneyline CIN 50% · +105 · $105 per $100
BookCINImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Atlanta Braves +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs ATL 3.8 no bet
ATL +1.5: ATL 3.8 + 1.5 = 5.3 vs CIN 4.2 BET ✓
BookCINATL
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.2 8.5 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 7.7 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Rece Hinds RF 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Jacob Hurtubise LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Greene Starter 6.1 6.7 5.7 2.2 3.2 44% 100% 17.1 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.7 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.3 8.7 —
Drake Baldwin C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Eli White RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.1 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Grant Holmes Starter 6.4 6.7 5.8 2.7 3.2 51% 100% 17.8 —