San Diego Padres
49% win
3
pred 4.7
FINAL
New York Yankees
51% win
4
pred 3.9
2025-05-07 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jackson Merrill UTIL 21.0 $5.2k 4.0
Cody Bellinger UTIL 17.0 $4.4k 3.9
Trent Grisham UTIL 16.0 $4.2k 3.8
Dylan Cease UTIL 29.2 $8.0k 3.7
Max Fried UTIL 26.8 $9.5k 2.8
Devin Williams UTIL 11.1 $4.0k 2.8
Brandon Lockridge UTIL 5.0 $2.2k 2.3
Oswaldo Cabrera UTIL 6.0 $2.8k 2.1
Manny Machado UTIL 10.0 $4.9k 2.0
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 7.0 $6.0k 1.2
Jasson Domínguez UTIL 4.0 $3.9k 1.0
Luke Weaver UTIL 3.2 $4.0k 0.8
J.C. Escarra UTIL 2.0 $2.8k 0.7
Luis Arraez UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
Robert Suarez UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Jeremiah Estrada UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 62%
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+406 · $406 per $100
LOSS
SD 49% 51% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.7% 19.3%
6.5 72.7% 27.3%
7.5 64.2% 35.8%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 46.5% 53.5%
10.5 39.7% 60.3%
11.5 31.4% 68.6%
12.5 25.4% 74.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversSD covers
NYY -1.5 42.8% 30.8%
NYY -2.5 31.0% 23.1%
NYY -3.5 21.3% 16.2%
Team Totals
LineNYYSD
O 3.5 68.9% 58.2%
O 4.5 53.3% 43.5%
O 5.5 39.6% 33.2%
O 6.5 29.0% 24.9%
Odds
moneyline NYY 51% · -180 · $56 per $100
BookSDImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +150 38.4% -180 61.6%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs SD 4.7 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs NYY 3.9 BET ✓
BookSDNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.9 —
Manny Machado 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.8 —
Jackson Merrill CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Gavin Sheets LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.6 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.5 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Jose Iglesias SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dylan Cease Starter 5.3 5.9 5.5 2.5 3.2 36% 100% 14.3 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.2 11.8 —
Ben Rice 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 9.9 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.5 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Fried Starter 6.3 5.7 6.2 2.0 3.0 55% 100% 16.7 —