Houston Astros
55% win
9
pred 3.7
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
45% win
1
pred 4.1
2025-05-07 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Daz Cameron OF 8.2 $2.0k 4.1
Isaac Collins OF 7.3 $2.3k 3.2
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.6 $2.7k 2.8
Chas McCormick OF 6.7 $2.4k 2.8
Vinny Capra OF 6.1 $2.3k 2.7
Zach Dezenzo OF 7.3 $2.9k 2.5
Christian Walker OF 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Joey Ortiz OF 5.9 $2.5k 2.4
Yainer Diaz OF 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Rhys Hoskins OF 8.4 $3.6k 2.3
Jeremy Peña OF 8.8 $3.9k 2.3
Isaac Paredes OF 8.4 $3.8k 2.2
Framber Valdez SP 17.0 $8.0k 2.1
Jake Meyers OF 8.2 $4.0k 2.0
Quinn Priester SP 12.6 $6.3k 2.0
Eric Haase OF 6.7 $3.5k 1.9
Caleb Durbin OF 6.5 $3.4k 1.9
Christian Yelich OF 7.8 $4.5k 1.7
Jackson Chourio OF 8.4 $5.0k 1.7
Jose Altuve OF 8.1 $4.9k 1.7
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+447 · $447 per $100
LOSS
HOU 55% 45% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.5% 18.5%
6.5 74.7% 25.3%
7.5 65.4% 34.6%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 46.2% 53.8%
10.5 39.3% 60.7%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 23.4% 76.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversHOU covers
MIL -1.5 25.8% 48.6%
MIL -2.5 16.5% 37.3%
MIL -3.5 11.4% 29.8%
Team Totals
LineMILHOU
O 3.5 52.5% 69.8%
O 4.5 39.5% 57.4%
O 5.5 28.7% 44.6%
O 6.5 19.6% 32.4%
Odds
moneyline HOU 55% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -135 55.1% +114 44.9%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs MIL 4.1 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs HOU 3.7 BET ✗
BookHOUMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +130 +1.5 -155
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.4 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.1 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 6.2 6.0 5.5 2.1 2.7 57% 100% 17.0 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Daz Cameron CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.2 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 7.8 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.3 —
Eric Haase C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.5 —
Vinny Capra 3B 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Quinn Priester Starter 5.5 4.9 6.0 2.3 3.4 37% 100% 12.6 —