New York Mets
49% win
1
pred 4.3
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
51% win
5
pred 5.5
2025-05-06 Chase Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 24.0 $3.4k 7.1
Jose Herrera UTIL 10.0 $2.4k 4.2
Zac Gallen UTIL 26.8 $8.0k 3.3
Randal Grichuk UTIL 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Josh Naylor UTIL 12.0 $4.9k 2.5
Francisco Alvarez UTIL 6.0 $3.8k 1.6
David Peterson UTIL 11.5 $7.8k 1.5
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Corbin Carroll UTIL 7.0 $6.2k 1.1
Starling Marte UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Kevin Ginkel UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Mark Vientos UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 4.0 $4.6k 0.9
Juan Soto UTIL 4.0 $5.0k 0.8
Shelby Miller UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Pete Alonso UTIL 4.0 $5.5k 0.7
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 2.0 $2.9k 0.7
Francisco Lindor UTIL 2.0 $5.1k 0.4
José Buttó UTIL 2.1 $7.8k 0.3
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+449 · $449 per $100
LOSS
NYM 49% 51% AZ
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.6% 16.4%
6.5 79.3% 20.7%
7.5 70.1% 29.9%
8.5 63.2% 36.8%
9.5 53.5% 46.5%
10.5 44.8% 55.2%
11.5 36.0% 64.0%
12.5 29.6% 70.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineAZ coversNYM covers
AZ -1.5 32.9% 41.6%
AZ -2.5 23.9% 32.7%
AZ -3.5 16.1% 24.3%
Team Totals
LineAZNYM
O 3.5 62.7% 69.2%
O 4.5 50.0% 56.9%
O 5.5 37.3% 45.5%
O 6.5 26.3% 35.2%
Odds
moneyline AZ 51% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookNYMImpl%AZImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs AZ 5.5 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs NYM 4.3 BET ✓
BookNYMAZ
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -105 U 9.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 12.0 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.2 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.1 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 11.0 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
David Peterson Starter 5.7 5.2 6.0 2.2 3.2 50% 100% 14.6 —
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ketel Marte 2B 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.5 —
Randal Grichuk RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.5 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 6.9 —
Garrett Hampson CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Jose Herrera C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zac Gallen Starter 5.8 5.6 5.8 2.5 3.4 44% 100% 13.0 —