Houston Astros
50% win
3
pred 3.6
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
50% win
4
pred 4.1
2025-05-06 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brendan Rodgers UTIL 18.0 $2.7k 6.7
Isaac Collins UTIL 10.0 $2.3k 4.4
Jake Bauers UTIL 16.0 $3.9k 4.1
Rhys Hoskins UTIL 11.0 $3.6k 3.1
Chad Patrick UTIL 21.4 $7.4k 2.9
Jackson Chourio UTIL 13.0 $5.0k 2.6
Steven Okert UTIL 9.9 $4.0k 2.5
Brice Turang UTIL 11.0 $4.9k 2.2
Bryan Abreu UTIL 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
Cam Smith UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
Yainer Diaz UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Jake Meyers UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Trevor Megill UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Isaac Paredes UTIL 4.0 $4.0k 1.0
William Contreras UTIL 4.0 $4.4k 0.9
Bryan King UTIL 3.5 $4.0k 0.9
Christian Walker UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Victor Caratini UTIL 2.0 $2.8k 0.7
Abner Uribe UTIL 2.5 $4.0k 0.6
Hayden Wesneski UTIL 2.8 $7.2k 0.4
Jose Altuve UTIL 2.0 $5.1k 0.4
Nick Mears UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.7 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + UNDER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+475 · $475 per $100
LOSS
HOU 50% 50% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.6% 18.4%
6.5 75.6% 24.4%
7.5 66.8% 33.2%
8.5 57.5% 42.5%
9.5 47.8% 52.2%
10.5 39.9% 60.1%
11.5 30.5% 69.5%
12.5 24.4% 75.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversHOU covers
MIL -1.5 34.6% 39.4%
MIL -2.5 25.1% 30.2%
MIL -3.5 17.3% 22.8%
Team Totals
LineMILHOU
O 3.5 61.0% 63.4%
O 4.5 47.3% 50.6%
O 5.5 35.0% 39.5%
O 6.5 25.3% 29.1%
Odds
moneyline HOU 50% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs MIL 4.1 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs HOU 3.6 BET ✓
BookHOUMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Under 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.3 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.6 —
Victor Caratini C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.4 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hayden Wesneski Starter 5.7 5.5 5.5 1.9 2.9 48% 100% 18.6 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
William Contreras C 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.2 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.9 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chad Patrick Starter 5.7 5.3 5.9 1.9 3.1 44% 100% 15.4 —