Baltimore Orioles
49% win
1
pred 4.7
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
51% win
9
pred 3.9
2025-05-06 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Carlos Correa UTIL 24.0 $3.2k 7.5
Byron Buxton UTIL 27.0 $5.0k 5.4
Pablo López UTIL 33.5 $9.0k 3.7
Willi Castro UTIL 9.0 $3.1k 2.9
Ryan Jeffers UTIL 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Ty France UTIL 7.0 $3.5k 2.0
Jonah Bride UTIL 5.0 $2.5k 2.0
Ryan Mountcastle UTIL 7.0 $3.6k 1.9
Cade Povich UTIL 7.9 $5.0k 1.6
Danny Coulombe UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Trevor Larnach UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Heston Kjerstad UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Gregory Soto UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jackson Holliday UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Louis Varland UTIL 6.3 $7.2k 0.9
Gunnar Henderson UTIL 4.0 $5.2k 0.8
Jorge Alcala UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Cole Sands UTIL 3.7 $7.2k 0.5
Ryan O'Hearn UTIL 2.0 $4.5k 0.4
Adley Rutschman UTIL 2.0 $4.7k 0.4
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 61%
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
BAL 49% 51% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.4% 19.6%
6.5 74.7% 25.3%
7.5 64.1% 35.9%
8.5 57.9% 42.1%
9.5 48.2% 51.8%
10.5 41.0% 59.0%
11.5 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 24.7% 75.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversBAL covers
MIN -1.5 46.3% 24.7%
MIN -2.5 34.9% 17.9%
MIN -3.5 24.5% 12.7%
Team Totals
LineMINBAL
O 3.5 68.9% 54.9%
O 4.5 55.2% 41.6%
O 5.5 43.7% 29.3%
O 6.5 32.8% 19.4%
Odds
moneyline MIN 51% · -175 · $57 per $100
BookBALImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +145 39.1% -175 60.9%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs BAL 4.7 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs MIN 3.9 BET ✗
BookBALMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -148 -1.5 +124
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -115 U 8.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cedric Mullins CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.9 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.5 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.0 —
Coby Mayo 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.1 —
Dylan Carlson LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cade Povich Starter 5.4 5.0 5.9 2.2 3.4 34% 100% 10.1 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 10.7 —
Ryan Jeffers C 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.2 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Ty France 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Royce Lewis 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pablo López Starter 5.9 6.2 5.6 1.8 2.8 59% 100% 17.8 —