Cincinnati Reds
35% win
1
pred 5
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
65% win
2
pred 3.4
2025-05-06 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Matt McLain UTIL 17.0 $4.6k 3.7
Chris Sale UTIL 30.2 $8.8k 3.4
Andrew Abbott UTIL 24.9 $8.4k 3.0
TJ Friedl UTIL 12.0 $4.1k 2.9
Raisel Iglesias UTIL 10.3 $4.0k 2.6
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 13.0 $6.0k 2.2
Austin Wynns UTIL 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Tony Santillan UTIL 7.3 $4.0k 1.8
Sean Murphy UTIL 8.0 $4.6k 1.7
Michael Harris II UTIL 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Eli White UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Santiago Espinal UTIL 5.0 $3.3k 1.5
Daysbel Hernández UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Ozzie Albies UTIL 5.0 $4.7k 1.1
Austin Riley UTIL 5.0 $4.8k 1.0
Stuart Fairchild UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Rafael Montero UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Pierce Johnson UTIL 2.8 $4.0k 0.7
Nick Allen UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
Matt Olson UTIL 3.0 $4.6k 0.7
Alex Verdugo UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Graham Ashcraft UTIL 3.1 $6.7k 0.5
Emilio Pagán UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 65% vs Mkt 66%
-225 · $44 per $100
WIN
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-115 · $87 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+416 · $416 per $100
WIN
CIN 35% 65% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.3% 16.7%
6.5 76.9% 23.1%
7.5 68.6% 31.4%
8.5 61.4% 38.6%
9.5 50.9% 49.1%
10.5 42.6% 57.4%
11.5 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 27.7% 72.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversCIN covers
ATL -1.5 40.4% 33.5%
ATL -2.5 30.0% 24.7%
ATL -3.5 22.4% 18.1%
Team Totals
LineATLCIN
O 3.5 67.4% 63.5%
O 4.5 54.8% 49.5%
O 5.5 42.2% 37.7%
O 6.5 30.7% 26.5%
Odds
moneyline ATL 65% · -225 · $44 per $100
BookCINImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +185 33.7% -225 66.3%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -115 · $87 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs CIN 5.0 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs ATL 3.4 BET ✓
BookCINATL
DraftKings +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 +100 U 8.5 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tyler Stephenson C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.2 —
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.3 7.9 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.3 7.0 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Jose Trevino C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Blake Dunn LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 5.4 —
Noelvi Marte OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Abbott Starter 5.0 5.1 5.1 2.1 2.9 39% 100% 11.3 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 11.6 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.6 —
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Sean Murphy C 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Eli White RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Sale Starter 5.7 6.6 5.7 2.0 3.1 51% 100% 21.7 —