San Diego Padres
53% win
3
pred 3.4
FINAL
New York Yankees
47% win
12
pred 4.3
2025-05-06 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Austin Wells UTIL 32.0 $3.9k 8.2
Anthony Volpe UTIL 17.0 $4.5k 3.8
Jasson Domínguez UTIL 12.0 $4.0k 3.0
Gavin Sheets UTIL 10.0 $3.5k 2.9
Ben Rice UTIL 14.0 $5.0k 2.8
Aaron Judge UTIL 18.0 $6.5k 2.8
Cody Bellinger UTIL 11.0 $4.4k 2.5
Jackson Merrill UTIL 10.0 $5.2k 1.9
Clarke Schmidt UTIL 12.7 $6.9k 1.8
Manny Machado UTIL 8.0 $4.6k 1.7
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 10.0 $6.1k 1.6
Fernando Cruz UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Trent Grisham UTIL 6.0 $4.2k 1.4
Tyler Wade UTIL 3.0 $2.7k 1.1
Michael King UTIL 10.5 $9.5k 1.1
Elias Díaz UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 4.0 $4.3k 0.9
Oswald Peraza UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Jason Heyward UTIL 2.0 $2.8k 0.7
Yerry De los Santos UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Luis Arraez UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Ryan Bergert UTIL 2.3 $6.2k 0.4
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 50%
-112 · $89 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + New York Yankees +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+462 · $462 per $100
LOSS
SD 53% 47% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.9% 14.1%
6.5 79.1% 20.9%
7.5 69.2% 30.8%
8.5 59.5% 40.5%
9.5 50.3% 49.7%
10.5 41.9% 58.1%
11.5 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 27.8% 72.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversSD covers
NYY -1.5 31.8% 44.9%
NYY -2.5 21.5% 34.9%
NYY -3.5 13.7% 27.6%
Team Totals
LineNYYSD
O 3.5 61.0% 68.4%
O 4.5 47.0% 57.5%
O 5.5 32.4% 47.2%
O 6.5 23.5% 35.5%
Odds
moneyline SD 53% · -112 · $89 per $100
BookSDImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings -112 50.4% -108 49.6%
runline New York Yankees +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs NYY 4.3 no bet
NYY +1.5: NYY 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs SD 3.4 BET ✓
BookSDNYY
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -102 U 8.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.1 11.9 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.3 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 7.8 —
Gavin Sheets LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Jason Heyward RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Elias Díaz C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.9 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael King Starter 5.9 6.6 5.3 2.4 3.0 52% 100% 20.9 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.7 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.5 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.7 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clarke Schmidt Starter 5.4 5.0 5.6 2.4 3.2 40% 100% 11.0 —