Texas Rangers
58% win
6
pred 4.3
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
42% win
1
pred 4.9
2025-05-06 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Joc Pederson OF 8.9 $2.2k 4.0
Marcus Semien OF 7.8 $2.5k 3.1
Abraham Toro OF 6.0 $2.0k 3.0
Josh Smith OF 8.6 $3.6k 2.4
Evan Carter OF 7.7 $3.3k 2.3
Adolis García OF 8.1 $3.5k 2.3
Corey Seager OF 9.9 $4.6k 2.2
Carlos Narváez OF 6.8 $3.3k 2.1
Wyatt Langford OF 9.6 $4.8k 2.0
Jonah Heim OF 7.4 $3.8k 2.0
Nathan Eovaldi SP 17.7 $9.2k 1.9
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.4 $3.4k 1.9
Lucas Giolito SP 16.0 $8.5k 1.9
Josh Jung OF 6.6 $3.7k 1.8
Rafael Devers OF 8.2 $4.7k 1.8
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.1 $5.0k 1.6
Alex Bregman OF 8.5 $5.3k 1.6
Kristian Campbell OF 7.3 $4.6k 1.6
Jarren Duran OF 8.7 $5.5k 1.6
Trevor Story OF 6.8 $4.5k 1.5
Best Bets
Texas Rangers
ML ★ · +5.6% edge
-120 · $100 bet · $83 profit
Model: 58% vs Market: 52%
WIN
Predictions
Texas Rangers
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Texas Rangers ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+466 · $466 per $100
LOSS
TEX 58% 42% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.8% 15.2%
6.5 78.7% 21.3%
7.5 69.6% 30.4%
8.5 61.9% 38.1%
9.5 52.3% 47.7%
10.5 43.7% 56.3%
11.5 33.9% 66.1%
12.5 26.1% 73.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversTEX covers
BOS -1.5 32.3% 42.2%
BOS -2.5 21.8% 32.0%
BOS -3.5 14.5% 22.9%
Team Totals
LineBOSTEX
O 3.5 64.2% 67.2%
O 4.5 49.3% 55.1%
O 5.5 35.0% 43.6%
O 6.5 24.5% 33.8%
Odds
moneyline TEX 58% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookTEXImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
TEX -1.5: TEX 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs BOS 4.9 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs TEX 4.3 BET ✗
BookTEXBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corey Seager SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.9 —
Wyatt Langford LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.6 —
Joc Pederson 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Josh Smith SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.6 —
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Marcus Semien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Evan Carter CF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Jonah Heim C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nathan Eovaldi Starter 5.9 6.0 5.8 1.8 3.0 51% 100% 17.7 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.4 —
Abraham Toro 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lucas Giolito Starter 5.2 5.5 5.1 2.1 3.0 41% 100% 16.0 —