Houston Astros
46% win
1
pred 4
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
54% win
5
pred 4.2
2025-05-05 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Christian Yelich UTIL 25.0 $4.4k 5.7
Jake Bauers UTIL 13.0 $3.9k 3.3
Joey Ortiz UTIL 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Rhys Hoskins UTIL 10.0 $3.7k 2.7
Tobias Myers UTIL 14.4 $5.7k 2.5
Isaac Collins UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
Ronel Blanco UTIL 14.1 $7.3k 1.9
William Contreras UTIL 7.0 $4.4k 1.6
Isaac Paredes UTIL 6.0 $4.0k 1.5
Jose Altuve UTIL 7.0 $5.1k 1.4
Christian Walker UTIL 5.0 $3.8k 1.3
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Cam Smith UTIL 3.0 $3.0k 1.0
Daz Cameron UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Yainer Diaz UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Nick Mears UTIL 3.5 $4.0k 0.9
Jake Meyers UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Jeremy Peña UTIL 3.0 $4.1k 0.7
Jared Koenig UTIL 3.7 $5.7k 0.6
Caleb Durbin UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Kaleb Ort UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jackson Chourio UTIL 3.0 $5.4k 0.6
Grant Anderson UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+450 · $450 per $100
WIN
HOU 46% 54% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.4% 19.6%
6.5 73.5% 26.5%
7.5 64.1% 35.9%
8.5 57.5% 42.5%
9.5 47.1% 52.9%
10.5 39.1% 60.9%
11.5 30.4% 69.6%
12.5 26.1% 73.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversHOU covers
MIL -1.5 29.4% 45.4%
MIL -2.5 20.6% 36.3%
MIL -3.5 13.6% 27.0%
Team Totals
LineMILHOU
O 3.5 57.0% 67.3%
O 4.5 42.1% 55.2%
O 5.5 30.7% 43.8%
O 6.5 20.6% 33.2%
Odds
moneyline MIL 54% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs MIL 4.2 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs HOU 4.0 BET ✓
BookHOUMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.1 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ronel Blanco Starter 5.5 5.2 4.7 2.4 2.7 52% 100% 19.7 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.3 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.2 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.0 —
William Contreras C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 6.9 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 6.9 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 6.4 —
Vinny Capra 3B 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tobias Myers Starter 4.4 4.3 4.5 1.8 2.5 27% 100% 16.4 —