San Diego Padres
47% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
New York Yankees
53% win
3
pred 3.6
2025-05-05 Yankee Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brandon Lockridge UTIL 10.0 $2.2k 4.6
Trent Grisham UTIL 18.0 $4.0k 4.5
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 13.0 $4.1k 3.2
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 12.0 $3.9k 3.1
Carlos Rodón UTIL 22.6 $9.5k 2.4
Manny Machado UTIL 11.0 $4.7k 2.3
Jorbit Vivas UTIL 4.0 $2.2k 1.8
Cody Bellinger UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Robert Suarez UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Tyler Wade UTIL 4.0 $2.8k 1.4
Ryan Bergert UTIL 8.3 $6.0k 1.4
Nick Pivetta UTIL 11.9 $10.0k 1.2
Ben Rice UTIL 5.0 $5.0k 1.0
Elias Díaz UTIL 3.0 $3.0k 1.0
Luis Campusano UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Luis Arraez UTIL 4.0 $4.2k 1.0
Jeremiah Estrada UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Oswald Peraza UTIL 2.0 $2.4k 0.8
Austin Wells UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Tim Hill UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Yuki Matsui UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Anthony Volpe UTIL 2.0 $4.5k 0.4
Aaron Judge UTIL 2.0 $6.5k 0.3
Fernando Cruz UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+399 · $399 per $100
LOSS
SD 47% 53% NYY
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.4% 21.6%
6.5 71.3% 28.7%
7.5 60.6% 39.4%
8.5 53.2% 46.8%
9.5 42.9% 57.1%
10.5 35.6% 64.4%
11.5 26.1% 73.9%
12.5 20.0% 80.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYY coversSD covers
NYY -1.5 35.5% 36.1%
NYY -2.5 26.8% 26.8%
NYY -3.5 18.4% 19.0%
Team Totals
LineNYYSD
O 3.5 58.2% 58.3%
O 4.5 45.9% 45.0%
O 5.5 32.9% 33.0%
O 6.5 23.1% 23.6%
Odds
moneyline NYY 53% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookSDImpl%NYYImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs SD 4.4 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs NYY 3.6 BET ✓
BookSDNYY
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.2 8.7 —
Manny Machado 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Luis Campusano C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Elias Díaz C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.8 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.6 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.7 6.4 5.3 2.2 3.0 46% 100% 17.4 —
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.1 11.1 —
Trent Grisham CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.9 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.4 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.0 —
Jorbit Vivas 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Rodón Starter 6.0 6.2 5.5 2.2 2.9 49% 100% 20.0 —