Los Angeles Dodgers
54% win
7
pred 3.9
FINAL
Miami Marlins
46% win
4
pred 6.6
2025-05-05 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jack Dreyer SP 21.5 $4.0k 5.4
Hyeseong Kim OF 7.9 $2.4k 3.3
Max Muncy OF 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Michael Conforto OF 9.6 $3.0k 3.2
Will Smith OF 10.5 $4.0k 2.6
Eric Wagaman OF 8.5 $3.3k 2.6
Andy Pages OF 9.3 $3.8k 2.5
Graham Pauley OF 5.2 $2.2k 2.3
Shohei Ohtani OF 13.7 $6.5k 2.1
Jesús Sánchez OF 7.2 $3.5k 2.0
Freddie Freeman OF 11.7 $6.0k 2.0
Teoscar Hernández OF 10.2 $5.3k 1.9
Mookie Betts OF 10.8 $5.8k 1.9
Kyle Stowers OF 8.6 $4.7k 1.8
Nick Fortes OF 5.1 $3.0k 1.7
Dane Myers OF 5.4 $3.2k 1.7
Xavier Edwards OF 7.3 $4.6k 1.6
Connor Norby OF 5.6 $3.6k 1.5
Javier Sanoja OF 4.6 $3.3k 1.4
Sandy Alcantara SP 9.2 $8.0k 1.2
Best Bets
Miami Marlins +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +4.3 off line
+110 · $300 bet · $330 profit
Model: 6.6 - 3.9
LOSS
Predictions
Los Angeles Dodgers
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 4.3 off line
+110 · $110 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.5 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Los Angeles Dodgers ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+496 · $496 per $100
LOSS
LAD 54% 46% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 76.5% 23.5%
7.5 69.1% 30.9%
8.5 61.9% 38.1%
9.5 51.5% 48.5%
10.5 43.6% 56.4%
11.5 36.0% 64.0%
12.5 28.4% 71.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversLAD covers
MIA -1.5 22.2% 54.5%
MIA -2.5 13.9% 42.4%
MIA -3.5 9.1% 32.7%
Team Totals
LineMIALAD
O 3.5 53.8% 74.8%
O 4.5 41.8% 62.8%
O 5.5 29.7% 51.2%
O 6.5 20.3% 39.0%
Odds
moneyline LAD 54% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookLADImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -205 64.5% +170 35.5%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +110 · $110 per $100
LAD -1.5: LAD 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs MIA 6.6 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 6.6 + 1.5 = 8.1 vs LAD 3.9 BET ✗
BookLADMIA
DraftKings -1.5 -130 +1.5 +110
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 +102 U 9.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Los Angeles Dodgers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shohei Ohtani TWP 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.0 13.7 —
Freddie Freeman 1B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.7 11.7 —
Mookie Betts SS 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 10.8 —
Will Smith C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.5 —
Teoscar Hernández RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.2 —
Max Muncy 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.0 —
Michael Conforto LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Andy Pages CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.3 —
Hyeseong Kim 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Dreyer Starter 4.0 4.6 3.3 1.9 1.6 19% 100% 21.5 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.4 8.6 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.5 —
Xavier Edwards SS 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 7.3 —
Jesús Sánchez RF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 7.2 —
Connor Norby 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.6 —
Dane Myers CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 5.4 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.2 5.2 —
Nick Fortes C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.1 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 4.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.2 4.8 5.7 2.4 3.5 30% 100% 9.2 —