Washington Nationals

55% win

pred 4.2

FINAL

Cincinnati Reds

45% win

pred 4.8

2025-05-04 Great American Ball Park 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Garrett Hampson	UTIL	8.0	$2.3k	3.5

Best Bets

Washington Nationals

ML ★ · +6.2% edge

-105 · $100 bet · $95 profit

Model: 55% vs Market: 49%

WIN

Predictions

Washington Nationals

ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 49%

-105 · $95 per $100

WIN

Cincinnati Reds +1.5

RL · 2.1 off line

-185 · $54 per $100

LOSS

OVER 8.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Washington Nationals ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 8.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+474 · $474 per $100

LOSS

WSH 55% 45% CIN

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	83.3%	16.7%
6.5	77.5%	22.5%
7.5	66.1%	33.9%
8.5	56.3%	43.7%
9.5	47.5%	52.5%
10.5	41.0%	59.0%
11.5	32.4%	67.6%
12.5	26.1%	73.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CIN covers	WSH covers
CIN -1.5	39.6%	35.1%
CIN -2.5	27.9%	26.3%
CIN -3.5	19.4%	18.1%

Team Totals

Line	CIN	WSH
O 3.5	64.3%	61.8%
O 4.5	51.5%	48.3%
O 5.5	38.8%	37.4%
O 6.5	26.8%	26.7%

Odds

moneyline WSH 55% · -105 · $95 per $100

Book	WSH	Impl%	CIN	Impl%
DraftKings	-105	48.9%	-115	51.1%

runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100

WSH -1.5: WSH 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs CIN 4.8 no bet

CIN +1.5: CIN 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs WSH 4.2 BET ✗

Book	WSH		CIN
DraftKings	-1.5	+154	+1.5	-185

total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 8.5 -108	U 8.5 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

Washington Nationals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
James Wood	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.1	10.3	—
Nathaniel Lowe	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.3	—
CJ Abrams	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.3	1.0	8.9	—
Amed Rosario	3B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	8.1	—
Alex Call	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.7	7.8	—
Keibert Ruiz	C	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.7	7.8	—
Dylan Crews	RF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.9	6.9	—
Jacob Young	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.8	6.1	—
Luis García	P	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
MacKenzie Gore	Starter	5.6	6.3	5.9	2.2	3.2	44%	100%	21.2	—

Cincinnati Reds

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Matt McLain	2B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.4	1.3	8.1	—
Spencer Steer	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Tyler Stephenson	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.1	—
Noelvi Marte	OF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.0	—
Santiago Espinal	3B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	6.8	—
Elly De La Cruz	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.4	1.3	6.7	—
Gavin Lux	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.4	—
Jose Trevino	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.4	—
Blake Dunn	LF	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	6.1	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Nick Martinez	Starter	5.9	5.2	5.9	2.0	3.1	49%	100%	15.2	—