Colorado Rockies
28% win
3
pred 4.6
FINAL
San Francisco Giants
72% win
9
pred 3.1
2025-05-04 Oracle Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
LaMonte Wade Jr. OF 8.0 $2.5k 3.2
Christian Koss OF 5.9 $2.1k 2.8
Luis Matos OF 7.0 $2.7k 2.6
Alan Trejo OF 5.5 $2.3k 2.4
Mickey Moniak OF 6.1 $2.6k 2.3
Jacob Stallings OF 5.1 $2.2k 2.3
Willy Adames OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Patrick Bailey OF 7.1 $3.1k 2.3
Logan Webb SP 22.8 $10.3k 2.2
Matt Chapman OF 10.1 $4.6k 2.2
Kyle Farmer OF 5.4 $2.5k 2.1
Mike Yastrzemski OF 9.9 $4.6k 2.1
Ryan McMahon OF 6.3 $3.0k 2.1
Michael Toglia OF 6.5 $3.3k 2.0
Jordan Beck OF 6.2 $3.2k 1.9
Germán Márquez SP 9.5 $5.0k 1.9
Wilmer Flores OF 7.9 $4.3k 1.8
Hunter Goodman OF 6.5 $3.6k 1.8
Brenton Doyle OF 6.8 $3.8k 1.8
Jung Hoo Lee OF 8.1 $4.9k 1.6
Predictions
San Francisco Giants
ML · Model 72% vs Mkt 76%
-380 · $26 per $100
WIN
Colorado Rockies +1.5
RL · 3.0 off line
+140 · $140 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.8 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
San Francisco Giants ML + Colorado Rockies +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+479 · $479 per $100
LOSS
COL 28% 72% SF
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.1% 18.9%
6.5 73.1% 26.9%
7.5 61.6% 38.4%
8.5 54.2% 45.8%
9.5 44.3% 55.7%
10.5 36.8% 63.2%
11.5 28.9% 71.1%
12.5 22.8% 77.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineSF coversCOL covers
SF -1.5 46.0% 25.1%
SF -2.5 34.5% 18.3%
SF -3.5 26.5% 12.7%
Team Totals
LineSFCOL
O 3.5 67.7% 55.8%
O 4.5 55.3% 39.4%
O 5.5 41.0% 28.2%
O 6.5 30.3% 18.6%
Odds
moneyline SF 72% · -380 · $26 per $100
BookCOLImpl%SFImpl%
DraftKings +300 24% -380 76%
runline Colorado Rockies +1.5 · +140 · $140 per $100
SF -1.5: SF 3.1 − 1.5 = 1.6 vs COL 4.6 no bet
COL +1.5: COL 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs SF 3.1 BET ✗
BookCOLSF
DraftKings +1.5 +140 -1.5 -166
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -108 U 7.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Colorado Rockies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brenton Doyle CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.2 6.8 —
Michael Toglia RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.5 —
Hunter Goodman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Ryan McMahon 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.3 —
Jordan Beck LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.3 6.2 —
Mickey Moniak RF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
Alan Trejo 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.5 —
Kyle Farmer 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.4 —
Jacob Stallings C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Germán Márquez Starter 5.7 4.9 6.5 2.5 3.6 36% 100% 9.5 —
San Francisco Giants
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Chapman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.1 —
Mike Yastrzemski RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.9 —
Willy Adames SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Jung Hoo Lee CF 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 8.1 —
LaMonte Wade Jr. LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.0 —
Wilmer Flores 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.9 —
Patrick Bailey C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Luis Matos RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.0 —
Christian Koss 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Webb Starter 6.4 7.1 6.2 2.0 2.9 59% 100% 22.8 —