Chicago Cubs
47% win
0
pred 3.7
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
53% win
4
pred 4.1
2025-05-04 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Daz Cameron UTIL 12.0 $2.0k 6.0
Caleb Durbin UTIL 9.0 $3.2k 2.8
Freddy Peralta UTIL 28.5 $10.2k 2.8
Kyle Tucker UTIL 13.0 $6.2k 2.1
William Contreras UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Daniel Palencia UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Shota Imanaga UTIL 13.8 $9.0k 1.5
Isaac Collins UTIL 3.0 $2.2k 1.4
Trevor Megill UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Rhys Hoskins UTIL 4.0 $3.6k 1.1
Christian Yelich UTIL 5.0 $4.6k 1.1
Abner Uribe UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jackson Chourio UTIL 5.0 $5.1k 1.0
Drew Pomeranz UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Dansby Swanson UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Ian Happ UTIL 3.0 $4.3k 0.7
Pete Crow-Armstrong UTIL 3.0 $4.5k 0.7
Jared Koenig UTIL 4.3 $7.0k 0.6
Michael Busch UTIL 2.0 $5.0k 0.4
Best Bets
Milwaukee Brewers
ML ★ · +5.6% edge
+100 · $100 bet · $100 profit
Model: 53% vs Market: 48%
WIN
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+506 · $506 per $100
LOSS
CHC 47% 53% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.8% 16.2%
6.5 75.8% 24.2%
7.5 64.7% 35.3%
8.5 55.8% 44.2%
9.5 45.3% 54.7%
10.5 37.3% 62.7%
11.5 29.5% 70.5%
12.5 23.9% 76.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversCHC covers
MIL -1.5 34.7% 38.2%
MIL -2.5 23.7% 28.9%
MIL -3.5 15.8% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineMILCHC
O 3.5 62.0% 63.5%
O 4.5 46.1% 49.4%
O 5.5 33.3% 37.5%
O 6.5 23.6% 27.2%
Odds
moneyline MIL 53% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookCHCImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
CHC -1.5: CHC 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs MIL 4.1 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs CHC 3.7 BET ✓
BookCHCMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 10.1 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.1 —
Ian Happ LF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 8.9 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 8.1 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.7 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Miguel Amaya C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shota Imanaga Starter 6.1 5.7 6.0 2.0 3.2 48% 100% 16.1 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
William Contreras C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.7 —
Sal Frelick RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Brice Turang 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Freddy Peralta Starter 5.8 6.3 5.2 2.5 3.0 47% 100% 15.8 —