Houston Astros
62% win
4
pred 3.8
FINAL
Chicago White Sox
38% win
5
pred 4.4
2025-05-04 Rate Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 21.0 $2.2k 9.6
Luis Robert Jr. UTIL 24.0 $4.3k 5.6
Chase Meidroth UTIL 11.0 $2.4k 4.6
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 7.0 $2.0k 3.5
Lenyn Sosa UTIL 9.0 $2.8k 3.2
Edgar Quero UTIL 10.0 $3.2k 3.1
Christian Walker UTIL 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Andrew Vaughn UTIL 5.0 $2.4k 2.1
Josh Rojas UTIL 4.0 $2.0k 2.0
Jake Meyers UTIL 7.0 $3.6k 1.9
Joshua Palacios UTIL 4.0 $2.4k 1.7
Victor Caratini UTIL 4.0 $2.5k 1.6
Yainer Diaz UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Lance McCullers Jr. UTIL 12.1 $8.4k 1.4
Mike Vasil UTIL 8.1 $6.3k 1.3
Brendan Rodgers UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Miguel Vargas UTIL 3.0 $2.7k 1.1
Bryse Wilson UTIL 3.9 $5.0k 0.8
Jeremy Peña UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Andrew Benintendi UTIL 2.0 $3.8k 0.5
Kaleb Ort UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 64%
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
+102 · $102 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+480 · $480 per $100
LOSS
HOU 62% 38% CWS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.1% 15.9%
6.5 76.6% 23.4%
7.5 67.4% 32.6%
8.5 59.1% 40.9%
9.5 48.8% 51.2%
10.5 41.9% 58.1%
11.5 33.1% 66.9%
12.5 27.5% 72.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineCWS coversHOU covers
CWS -1.5 27.7% 44.9%
CWS -2.5 18.1% 34.5%
CWS -3.5 12.8% 26.2%
Team Totals
LineCWSHOU
O 3.5 60.5% 70.9%
O 4.5 46.1% 58.5%
O 5.5 32.2% 44.8%
O 6.5 22.5% 34.0%
Odds
moneyline HOU 62% · -198 · $51 per $100
BookHOUImpl%CWSImpl%
DraftKings -198 63.7% +164 36.3%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · +102 · $102 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CWS 4.4 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs HOU 3.8 BET ✓
BookHOUCWS
DraftKings -1.5 -122 +1.5 +102
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.5 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.8 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lance McCullers Jr. Starter 5.3 5.0 5.1 2.2 2.6 51% 100% 17.8 —
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Benintendi LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.2 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.1 —
Edgar Quero C 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 7.1 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.1 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Josh Rojas 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bryse Wilson Starter 3.7 3.2 4.2 1.3 2.3 9% 100% 8.8 —