Arizona Diamondbacks
42% win
11
pred 5.1
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
58% win
9
pred 3.5
2025-05-04 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 38.0 $4.5k 8.4
Weston Wilson UTIL 21.0 $2.8k 7.5
Jose Herrera UTIL 16.0 $2.2k 7.3
Alec Bohm UTIL 14.0 $3.3k 4.2
Bryce Harper UTIL 21.0 $5.6k 3.8
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 16.0 $5.5k 2.9
Josh Naylor UTIL 14.0 $5.1k 2.8
Eduardo Rodriguez UTIL 20.6 $8.2k 2.5
Corbin Carroll UTIL 14.0 $6.0k 2.3
Randal Grichuk UTIL 7.0 $3.1k 2.3
Edmundo Sosa UTIL 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
J.T. Realmuto UTIL 8.0 $3.9k 2.1
Tim Tawa UTIL 7.0 $3.5k 2.0
Nick Castellanos UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 6.0 $3.5k 1.7
Johan Rojas UTIL 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Bryson Stott UTIL 5.0 $4.8k 1.0
Shelby Miller UTIL 3.9 $4.0k 1.0
Jordan Romano UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Alek Thomas UTIL 3.0 $3.6k 0.8
Brandon Marsh UTIL 2.0 $2.9k 0.7
Gabriel Moreno UTIL 2.0 $3.2k 0.6
Trea Turner UTIL 3.0 $5.0k 0.6
Matt Strahm UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Joe Ross UTIL 4.3 $8.0k 0.5
Max Kepler UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Orion Kerkering UTIL 1.8 $4.0k 0.5
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 2.0 $4.6k 0.4
Ryan Thompson UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Kevin Ginkel UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Carlos Hernández UTIL 1.7 $8.0k 0.2
Jalen Beeks UTIL 1.1 $7.2k 0.2
Ranger Suarez UTIL 0.9 $8.3k 0.1
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 3.1 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+413 · $413 per $100
LOSS
AZ 42% 58% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.7% 13.3%
6.5 79.8% 20.2%
7.5 71.3% 28.7%
8.5 62.9% 37.1%
9.5 52.8% 47.2%
10.5 43.1% 56.9%
11.5 35.2% 64.8%
12.5 28.2% 71.8%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversAZ covers
PHI -1.5 39.4% 36.6%
PHI -2.5 28.2% 25.5%
PHI -3.5 20.3% 18.4%
Team Totals
LinePHIAZ
O 3.5 70.4% 62.6%
O 4.5 55.0% 52.0%
O 5.5 41.6% 40.8%
O 6.5 30.0% 29.7%
Odds
moneyline PHI 58% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookAZImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs AZ 5.1 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs PHI 3.5 BET ✓
BookAZPHI
DraftKings +1.5 -166 -1.5 +140
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -105 U 9.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Randal Grichuk RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.9 8.5 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Garrett Hampson CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.3 —
Jose Herrera C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Eduardo Rodriguez Starter 5.9 6.1 6.5 2.2 3.6 44% 100% 11.9 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.1 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.8 —
J.T. Realmuto C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 10.7 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.3 —
Trea Turner SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.0 —
Edmundo Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.8 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.8 —
Weston Wilson 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ranger Suarez Starter 5.2 5.1 5.4 2.1 2.9 47% 100% 17.0 —