Cleveland Guardians
53% win
5
pred 3.8
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
47% win
4
pred 4.2
2025-05-04 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gabriel Arias UTIL 15.0 $3.7k 4.1
Daniel Schneemann UTIL 11.0 $2.8k 3.9
Kyle Manzardo UTIL 17.0 $4.4k 3.9
Nathan Lukes UTIL 11.0 $2.9k 3.8
Bo Bichette UTIL 13.0 $4.2k 3.1
Andrés Giménez UTIL 12.0 $4.0k 3.0
Angel Martínez UTIL 8.0 $3.3k 2.4
Carlos Santana UTIL 8.0 $3.6k 2.2
Steven Kwan UTIL 10.0 $4.7k 2.1
Alan Roden UTIL 4.0 $2.4k 1.7
Tanner Bibee UTIL 12.5 $7.8k 1.6
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. UTIL 7.0 $5.0k 1.4
Cade Smith UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Alejandro Kirk UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Addison Barger UTIL 2.0 $2.2k 0.9
Emmanuel Clase UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Bo Naylor UTIL 2.0 $2.7k 0.7
Brendon Little UTIL 2.5 $4.0k 0.6
Anthony Santander UTIL 2.0 $4.1k 0.5
George Springer UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Tim Herrin UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
José Ramírez UTIL 2.0 $5.4k 0.4
Hunter Gaddis UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Yariel Rodríguez UTIL 1.8 $7.3k 0.3
Bowden Francis UTIL 1.6 $6.6k 0.2
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +5.2% edge
-102 · $100 bet · $98 profit
Model: 53% vs Market: 48%
WIN
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+475 · $475 per $100
WIN
CLE 53% 47% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.5% 17.5%
6.5 75.4% 24.6%
7.5 64.9% 35.1%
8.5 55.4% 44.6%
9.5 44.8% 55.2%
10.5 38.5% 61.5%
11.5 30.4% 69.6%
12.5 24.2% 75.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversCLE covers
TOR -1.5 35.2% 41.3%
TOR -2.5 25.0% 30.6%
TOR -3.5 17.0% 22.2%
Team Totals
LineTORCLE
O 3.5 58.2% 64.2%
O 4.5 46.2% 50.1%
O 5.5 34.3% 38.1%
O 6.5 24.2% 27.5%
Odds
moneyline CLE 53% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookCLEImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs TOR 4.2 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs CLE 3.8 BET ✓
BookCLETOR
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 9.2 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.1 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.7 8.2 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Bibee Starter 5.8 5.3 5.6 2.0 3.0 49% 100% 14.0 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.8 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
George Springer RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 6.1 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
Alan Roden LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bowden Francis Starter 5.7 5.2 5.5 2.0 3.2 45% 100% 14.7 —