Minnesota Twins
37% win
5
pred 4.6
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
63% win
4
pred 3.9
2025-05-04 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 22.0 $4.9k 4.5
Romy Gonzalez UTIL 14.0 $3.5k 4.0
Harrison Bader UTIL 13.0 $3.3k 3.9
Christian Vázquez UTIL 7.0 $2.3k 3.0
Ryan Jeffers UTIL 10.0 $3.6k 2.8
Byron Buxton UTIL 14.0 $5.1k 2.8
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Carlos Correa UTIL 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Carlos Narváez UTIL 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Trevor Larnach UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.8
Garrett Crochet UTIL 17.7 $10.8k 1.6
Garrett Whitlock UTIL 4.7 $4.0k 1.2
Louis Varland UTIL 8.3 $7.0k 1.2
Liam Hendriks UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Brooks Lee UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Brock Stewart UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jhoan Duran UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Chris Paddack UTIL 5.1 $6.5k 0.8
Alex Bregman UTIL 4.0 $5.3k 0.8
Rafael Devers UTIL 2.0 $4.8k 0.4
Griffin Jax UTIL 1.7 $7.0k 0.2
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 64%
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-118 · $85 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+431 · $431 per $100
LOSS
MIN 37% 63% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.7% 17.3%
6.5 76.0% 24.0%
7.5 64.4% 35.6%
8.5 56.2% 43.8%
9.5 45.7% 54.3%
10.5 38.4% 61.6%
11.5 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 25.9% 74.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversMIN covers
BOS -1.5 40.3% 35.2%
BOS -2.5 29.4% 26.0%
BOS -3.5 19.7% 18.7%
Team Totals
LineBOSMIN
O 3.5 63.5% 59.9%
O 4.5 50.8% 48.1%
O 5.5 38.7% 36.1%
O 6.5 27.4% 25.5%
Odds
moneyline BOS 63% · -198 · $51 per $100
BookMINImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +164 36.3% -198 63.7%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -118 · $85 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs MIN 4.6 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs BOS 3.9 BET ✓
BookMINBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -118 -1.5 -102
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.4 8.8 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.2 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.8 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Paddack Starter 5.4 5.3 5.6 2.0 3.1 42% 100% 10.5 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.9 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.9 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.8 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 6.3 7.0 6.0 2.3 3.2 52% 100% 18.6 —