Kansas City Royals
49% win
11
pred 4.4
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
51% win
6
pred 4.3
2025-05-04 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jackson Holliday UTIL 31.0 $3.5k 8.9
Maikel Garcia UTIL 31.0 $3.9k 8.0
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 22.0 $3.3k 6.7
Michael Massey UTIL 16.0 $2.5k 6.4
Jonathan India UTIL 17.0 $3.4k 5.0
Ryan O'Hearn UTIL 21.0 $4.5k 4.7
Drew Waters UTIL 10.0 $2.7k 3.7
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 21.0 $5.9k 3.6
Cavan Biggio UTIL 7.0 $2.0k 3.5
Cedric Mullins UTIL 14.0 $5.8k 2.4
Gunnar Henderson UTIL 12.0 $5.5k 2.2
Salvador Perez UTIL 8.0 $4.3k 1.9
Heston Kjerstad UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Adley Rutschman UTIL 7.0 $5.2k 1.4
Ryan Mountcastle UTIL 5.0 $3.7k 1.4
Maverick Handley UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Coby Mayo UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Michael Lorenzen UTIL 5.7 $6.0k 1.0
Taylor Clarke UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Kyle Isbel UTIL 2.0 $2.4k 0.8
Keegan Akin UTIL 3.7 $5.5k 0.7
Lucas Erceg UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Angel Zerpa UTIL 3.4 $7.5k 0.5
Steven Cruz UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
KC 49% 51% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.2% 18.8%
6.5 74.6% 25.4%
7.5 65.0% 35.0%
8.5 57.0% 43.0%
9.5 46.6% 53.4%
10.5 39.3% 60.7%
11.5 31.5% 68.5%
12.5 25.7% 74.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversKC covers
BAL -1.5 33.7% 38.0%
BAL -2.5 20.8% 28.1%
BAL -3.5 14.9% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineBALKC
O 3.5 62.1% 64.1%
O 4.5 47.3% 50.7%
O 5.5 34.2% 38.9%
O 6.5 23.3% 29.0%
Odds
moneyline BAL 51% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookKCImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs KC 4.4 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs BAL 4.3 BET ✓
BookKCBAL
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -122 U 9.0 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.5 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.4 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 8.6 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Drew Waters RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Luke Maile C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Lorenzen Starter 6.1 5.6 5.7 2.4 3.1 49% 100% 12.9 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.7 —
Cedric Mullins CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 10.6 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 9.5 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Coby Mayo 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.4 —
Maverick Handley C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Gibson Starter 5.2 4.7 5.5 1.8 3.1 42% 100% 13.2 —