New York Mets
52% win
4
pred 4
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
48% win
5
pred 4.8
2025-05-04 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Willson Contreras UTIL 26.0 $3.2k 8.1
Luisangel Acuña UTIL 18.0 $3.2k 5.6
Brendan Donovan UTIL 16.0 $4.4k 3.6
José Barrero UTIL 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Victor Scott II UTIL 10.0 $3.9k 2.6
Alec Burleson UTIL 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Pete Alonso UTIL 12.0 $5.3k 2.3
Jeff McNeil UTIL 6.0 $2.8k 2.1
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 9.0 $4.3k 2.1
Erick Fedde UTIL 10.7 $5.2k 2.1
Nolan Arenado UTIL 8.0 $4.1k 2.0
Francisco Lindor UTIL 9.0 $4.9k 1.8
Mark Vientos UTIL 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Kyle Leahy UTIL 5.9 $4.0k 1.5
Juan Soto UTIL 7.0 $4.8k 1.5
Jesse Winker UTIL 4.0 $3.0k 1.3
Luis Torrens UTIL 4.0 $3.2k 1.3
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Nolan Gorman UTIL 4.0 $3.5k 1.1
Ryan Helsley UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Reed Garrett UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
JoJo Romero UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Huascar Brazobán UTIL 2.2 $4.0k 0.5
Austin Warren UTIL 3.7 $7.1k 0.5
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
LOSS
NYM 52% 48% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.4% 11.6%
6.5 83.6% 16.4%
7.5 74.3% 25.7%
8.5 67.5% 32.5%
9.5 56.8% 43.2%
10.5 48.4% 51.6%
11.5 39.7% 60.3%
12.5 33.1% 66.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversNYM covers
STL -1.5 33.1% 43.8%
STL -2.5 24.1% 35.2%
STL -3.5 15.8% 26.5%
Team Totals
LineSTLNYM
O 3.5 66.2% 70.8%
O 4.5 52.9% 58.8%
O 5.5 41.0% 49.6%
O 6.5 29.6% 36.4%
Odds
moneyline NYM 52% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookNYMImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs STL 4.8 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs NYM 4.0 BET ✓
BookNYMSTL
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.7 10.5 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 9.9 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 9.9 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.2 —
Mark Vientos 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Francisco Alvarez C — — — — — — — 7.4 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B — — — — — — — 7.3 —
Tyrone Taylor CF — — — — — — — 6.7 —
José Azocar RF — — — — — — — 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Blade Tidwell Starter 5.1 4.2 5.5 2.0 3.1 45% 100% 15.4 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 8.5 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 8.1 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.5 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.2 —
José Barrero SS — — — — — — — 7.2 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Yohel Pozo C 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.4 —
Jordan Walker RF — — — — — — — 6.4 —
Victor Scott II CF — — — — — — — 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter — — — — — — — 13.0 —