Kansas City Royals
51% win
4
pred 4.2
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
49% win
0
pred 4.9
2025-05-03 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Cavan Biggio UTIL 14.0 $2.1k 6.7
Kyle Isbel UTIL 14.0 $2.4k 5.8
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 14.0 $3.0k 4.7
Maikel Garcia UTIL 13.0 $3.6k 3.6
Jonathan India UTIL 9.0 $3.1k 2.9
Ramón Laureano UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
Tomoyuki Sugano UTIL 13.9 $7.1k 2.0
Kris Bubic UTIL 18.3 $9.9k 1.8
Gunnar Henderson UTIL 9.0 $5.2k 1.7
Lucas Erceg UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Michael Massey UTIL 3.0 $2.3k 1.3
Emmanuel Rivera UTIL 3.0 $2.5k 1.2
John Schreiber UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Bryan Baker UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Freddy Fermin UTIL 2.0 $2.3k 0.9
Ryan O'Hearn UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Daniel Lynch IV UTIL 5.3 $7.6k 0.7
Adley Rutschman UTIL 2.0 $4.9k 0.4
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+474 · $474 per $100
LOSS
KC 51% 49% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 73.7% 26.3%
7.5 64.8% 35.2%
8.5 57.6% 42.4%
9.5 47.7% 52.3%
10.5 40.5% 59.5%
11.5 31.7% 68.3%
12.5 25.8% 74.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversKC covers
BAL -1.5 36.1% 35.6%
BAL -2.5 26.4% 24.9%
BAL -3.5 18.3% 19.2%
Team Totals
LineBALKC
O 3.5 61.5% 62.7%
O 4.5 48.5% 49.2%
O 5.5 37.1% 36.9%
O 6.5 27.5% 26.8%
Odds
moneyline KC 51% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookKCImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs BAL 4.9 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs KC 4.2 BET ✗
BookKCBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -105 U 9.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 10.5 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 10.0 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 9.4 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.3 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.2 —
Cavan Biggio 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.1 —
Freddy Fermin C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 7.5 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kris Bubic Starter 6.0 6.0 6.1 2.2 3.2 46% 100% 15.7 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cedric Mullins CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Adley Rutschman C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Jorge Mateo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Emmanuel Rivera 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano Starter 5.8 4.3 6.1 1.6 3.1 48% 100% 9.1 —