Chicago Cubs
45% win
6
pred 3.6
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
55% win
2
pred 4.6
2025-05-03 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Pete Crow-Armstrong UTIL 18.0 $4.4k 4.1
Rhys Hoskins UTIL 14.0 $3.8k 3.7
Dansby Swanson UTIL 14.0 $3.9k 3.6
Jameson Taillon UTIL 21.1 $7.5k 2.8
Kyle Tucker UTIL 14.0 $6.0k 2.3
Brice Turang UTIL 10.0 $5.1k 2.0
Ian Happ UTIL 8.0 $4.1k 2.0
Justin Turner UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Carson Kelly UTIL 9.0 $5.1k 1.8
Brad Keller UTIL 5.9 $4.0k 1.5
Grant Anderson UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Jackson Chourio UTIL 7.0 $5.5k 1.3
Nico Hoerner UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Abner Uribe UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Elvin Rodríguez UTIL 5.7 $7.0k 0.8
Jose Quintana UTIL 6.5 $8.5k 0.8
Jon Berti UTIL 2.0 $2.9k 0.7
Nick Mears UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 50%
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
LOSS
CHC 45% 55% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.3% 15.7%
6.5 76.5% 23.5%
7.5 66.8% 33.2%
8.5 60.2% 39.8%
9.5 49.2% 50.8%
10.5 42.9% 57.1%
11.5 35.6% 64.4%
12.5 28.5% 71.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversCHC covers
MIL -1.5 29.9% 47.2%
MIL -2.5 20.6% 36.8%
MIL -3.5 13.8% 28.3%
Team Totals
LineMILCHC
O 3.5 58.7% 67.8%
O 4.5 45.3% 56.9%
O 5.5 30.5% 44.9%
O 6.5 20.3% 34.8%
Odds
moneyline MIL 55% · -110 · $91 per $100
BookCHCImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -110 50% -110 50%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
CHC -1.5: CHC 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs MIL 4.6 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CHC 3.6 BET ✗
BookCHCMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.5 —
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.8 10.7 —
Ian Happ LF 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.2 —
Carson Kelly C 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.8 —
Justin Turner 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jameson Taillon Starter 5.7 4.8 5.6 1.9 2.9 55% 100% 15.3 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 8.7 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Christian Yelich LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
William Contreras C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 6.6 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jose Quintana Starter 5.7 5.0 5.9 2.5 3.3 40% 100% 10.1 —