Arizona Diamondbacks
40% win
2
pred 4.1
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
60% win
7
pred 5.5
2025-05-03 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddie Freeman UTIL 28.0 $5.9k 4.8
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 26.0 $6.5k 4.0
Will Smith UTIL 12.0 $3.7k 3.2
Mookie Betts UTIL 18.0 $5.6k 3.2
Teoscar Hernández UTIL 10.0 $5.3k 1.9
Max Muncy UTIL 6.0 $3.3k 1.8
Luis García UTIL 6.5 $4.0k 1.6
Roki Sasaki UTIL 11.9 $7.7k 1.5
Anthony Banda UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Kirby Yates UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Michael Conforto UTIL 2.0 $3.1k 0.7
Alex Vesia UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Best Bets
Philadelphia Phillies
ML ★ · +6.3% edge
-125 · $100 bet · $80 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 53%
WIN
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
UNDER 10.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 10.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + UNDER 10.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+429 · $429 per $100
WIN
AZ 40% 60% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.4% 13.6%
6.5 81.1% 18.9%
7.5 72.3% 27.7%
8.5 64.4% 35.6%
9.5 54.7% 45.3%
10.5 47.2% 52.8%
11.5 36.9% 63.1%
12.5 31.0% 69.0%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversAZ covers
PHI -1.5 34.7% 40.5%
PHI -2.5 25.0% 31.2%
PHI -3.5 17.2% 23.5%
Team Totals
LinePHIAZ
O 3.5 66.9% 69.6%
O 4.5 52.7% 58.2%
O 5.5 38.8% 46.4%
O 6.5 28.6% 34.4%
Odds
moneyline PHI 60% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookAZImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs PHI 5.5 no bet
PHI +1.5: PHI 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs AZ 4.1 BET ✓
BookAZPHI
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Under 10.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 10.0 -105 U 10.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ketel Marte 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 14.3 —
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.1 13.4 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 12.0 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.9 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.6 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 9.1 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Pfaadt Starter 5.9 5.7 6.1 2.1 3.3 50% 100% 15.0 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 11.5 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.2 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.0 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.6 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.3 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Nola Starter 5.8 5.7 6.1 2.2 3.4 45% 100% 11.9 —