Minnesota Twins
56% win
4
pred 4.7
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
44% win
3
pred 5.1
2025-05-03 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Kody Clemens OF 8.2 $2.1k 3.9
Christian Vázquez OF 7.6 $2.4k 3.2
Brooks Lee OF 8.7 $3.1k 2.8
Ty France OF 8.5 $3.2k 2.7
Carlos Correa OF 9.1 $3.6k 2.5
David Hamilton OF 6.2 $2.7k 2.3
Ryan Jeffers OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Trevor Larnach OF 9.0 $4.1k 2.2
Harrison Bader OF 7.2 $3.4k 2.1
Bailey Ober SP 16.7 $8.0k 2.1
Byron Buxton OF 10.5 $5.2k 2.0
Rafael Devers OF 10.4 $5.2k 2.0
Romy Gonzalez OF 6.9 $3.5k 2.0
Connor Wong OF 5.9 $3.1k 1.9
Hunter Dobbins SP 13.7 $7.5k 1.8
Alex Bregman OF 9.7 $5.5k 1.8
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.0 $3.6k 1.7
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.9 $5.4k 1.7
Jarren Duran OF 8.8 $5.7k 1.6
Trevor Story OF 7.3 $4.8k 1.5
Best Bets
Minnesota Twins
ML ★ · +7.7% edge
-102 · $100 bet · $98 profit
Model: 56% vs Market: 48%
WIN
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+488 · $488 per $100
LOSS
MIN 56% 44% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.0% 18.0%
6.5 73.5% 26.5%
7.5 62.1% 37.9%
8.5 55.0% 45.0%
9.5 44.5% 55.5%
10.5 38.7% 61.3%
11.5 29.2% 70.8%
12.5 23.1% 76.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversMIN covers
BOS -1.5 36.3% 36.3%
BOS -2.5 24.0% 28.0%
BOS -3.5 16.2% 19.8%
Team Totals
LineBOSMIN
O 3.5 63.9% 60.9%
O 4.5 49.2% 47.3%
O 5.5 34.4% 36.2%
O 6.5 23.4% 28.2%
Odds
moneyline MIN 56% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookMINImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BOS 5.1 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs MIN 4.7 BET ✓
BookMINBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -112 U 9.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 10.5 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.1 —
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.0 —
Brooks Lee 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.7 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Kody Clemens 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.2 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.6 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Ober Starter 6.1 6.1 6.3 1.8 3.3 45% 100% 16.7 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.7 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.8 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.9 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Dobbins Starter 6.0 5.9 6.1 1.8 3.2 49% 100% 13.7 —