Cleveland Guardians
37% win
5
pred 4.5
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
63% win
3
pred 4
2025-05-03 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Addison Barger OF 7.9 $2.4k 3.3
Jhonkensy Noel OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Will Wilson OF 5.9 $2.1k 2.8
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.3 $2.3k 2.8
Daniel Schneemann OF 6.9 $2.8k 2.5
Nolan Jones OF 7.4 $3.2k 2.3
Austin Hedges OF 6.2 $2.7k 2.3
Carlos Santana OF 8.3 $3.8k 2.2
Nathan Lukes OF 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Kevin Gausman SP 17.7 $8.5k 2.1
Anthony Santander OF 8.6 $4.2k 2.1
Bo Bichette OF 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
George Springer OF 8.4 $4.7k 1.8
Daulton Varsho OF 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.1 $4.7k 1.7
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 8.8 $5.2k 1.7
Gavin Williams SP 12.9 $7.6k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 8.0 $4.9k 1.6
Tyler Heineman OF 6.5 $4.1k 1.6
Andrés Giménez OF 6.3 $4.3k 1.5
Best Bets
Toronto Blue Jays
ML ★ · +5.9% edge
-148 · $100 bet · $68 profit
Model: 63% vs Market: 57%
LOSS
Predictions
Toronto Blue Jays
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+398 · $398 per $100
LOSS
CLE 37% 63% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.0% 18.0%
6.5 75.5% 24.5%
7.5 63.8% 36.2%
8.5 55.5% 44.5%
9.5 45.8% 54.2%
10.5 38.5% 61.5%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 24.2% 75.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversCLE covers
TOR -1.5 41.8% 29.5%
TOR -2.5 30.5% 22.6%
TOR -3.5 22.5% 15.0%
Team Totals
LineTORCLE
O 3.5 67.5% 57.1%
O 4.5 54.4% 44.0%
O 5.5 42.2% 32.4%
O 6.5 31.6% 21.2%
Odds
moneyline TOR 63% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookCLEImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
TOR -1.5: TOR 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs CLE 4.5 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs TOR 4.0 BET ✓
BookCLETOR
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.5 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 7.4 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Austin Hedges C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Will Wilson 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gavin Williams Starter 5.6 5.4 5.9 2.4 3.4 37% 100% 12.9 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.8 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
George Springer RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.4 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Daulton Varsho CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.0 —
Tyler Heineman C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.5 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kevin Gausman Starter 5.8 6.0 5.4 2.3 2.9 55% 100% 17.7 —