Houston Astros
69% win
8
pred 3.6
FINAL
Chicago White Sox
31% win
3
pred 4.4
2025-05-03 Rate Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Zach Dezenzo OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Victor Caratini OF 8.3 $2.7k 3.1
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.6 $2.5k 3.0
Joshua Palacios OF 7.4 $2.6k 2.9
Chase Meidroth OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.9
Yainer Diaz OF 8.1 $3.2k 2.5
Miguel Vargas OF 6.9 $2.8k 2.5
Andrew Vaughn OF 6.3 $2.7k 2.3
Christian Walker OF 8.9 $3.9k 2.3
Brooks Baldwin OF 6.3 $2.8k 2.3
Lenyn Sosa OF 6.2 $2.9k 2.1
Andrew Benintendi OF 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Jeremy Peña OF 9.0 $4.3k 2.1
Matt Thaiss OF 6.2 $3.0k 2.1
Isaac Paredes OF 8.3 $4.2k 2.0
Jake Meyers OF 7.0 $3.8k 1.8
Davis Martin SP 12.3 $6.8k 1.8
Hunter Brown SP 18.5 $10.9k 1.7
Jose Altuve OF 8.1 $5.1k 1.6
Luis Robert Jr. OF 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 69% vs Mkt 70%
-270 · $37 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
+124 · $124 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+486 · $486 per $100
LOSS
HOU 69% 31% CWS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.5% 18.5%
6.5 73.2% 26.8%
7.5 61.8% 38.2%
8.5 53.7% 46.3%
9.5 44.2% 55.8%
10.5 35.0% 65.0%
11.5 26.7% 73.3%
12.5 21.3% 78.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineCWS coversHOU covers
CWS -1.5 24.7% 47.3%
CWS -2.5 16.0% 38.7%
CWS -3.5 11.3% 28.8%
Team Totals
LineCWSHOU
O 3.5 52.0% 69.7%
O 4.5 36.9% 56.8%
O 5.5 26.2% 42.3%
O 6.5 16.9% 29.8%
Odds
moneyline HOU 69% · -270 · $37 per $100
BookHOUImpl%CWSImpl%
DraftKings -270 70% +220 30%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · +124 · $124 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CWS 4.4 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs HOU 3.6 BET ✗
BookHOUCWS
DraftKings -1.5 -148 +1.5 +124
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.1 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Brown Starter 5.7 5.8 5.1 1.9 2.5 56% 100% 18.5 —
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Benintendi LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.2 7.0 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.9 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.3 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.2 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Davis Martin Starter 5.7 5.1 6.2 2.1 3.4 37% 100% 12.3 —