Minnesota Twins
51% win
1
pred 4.5
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
49% win
6
pred 5
2025-05-02 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
David Hamilton UTIL 27.0 $2.5k 10.8
Romy Gonzalez UTIL 14.0 $3.5k 4.0
Ryan Jeffers UTIL 14.0 $3.7k 3.8
Alex Bregman UTIL 19.0 $5.3k 3.6
Rafael Devers UTIL 15.0 $4.8k 3.1
Trevor Story UTIL 13.0 $4.6k 2.8
Joe Ryan UTIL 24.5 $9.0k 2.7
Brayan Bello UTIL 20.0 $7.9k 2.5
Greg Weissert UTIL 7.7 $4.0k 1.9
Connor Wong UTIL 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Byron Buxton UTIL 6.0 $4.9k 1.2
Justin Wilson UTIL 4.8 $4.0k 1.2
Brooks Lee UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Jarren Duran UTIL 5.0 $5.5k 0.9
Liam Hendriks UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Harrison Bader UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Trevor Larnach UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Edouard Julien UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Danny Coulombe UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 2.0 $5.0k 0.4
Predictions
Minnesota Twins
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+478 · $478 per $100
LOSS
MIN 51% 49% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.9% 18.1%
6.5 76.0% 24.0%
7.5 65.5% 34.5%
8.5 57.9% 42.1%
9.5 47.9% 52.1%
10.5 39.6% 60.4%
11.5 30.4% 69.6%
12.5 24.6% 75.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversMIN covers
BOS -1.5 32.5% 38.0%
BOS -2.5 22.7% 26.9%
BOS -3.5 15.1% 19.6%
Team Totals
LineBOSMIN
O 3.5 61.9% 65.7%
O 4.5 48.6% 51.2%
O 5.5 35.7% 40.4%
O 6.5 24.3% 29.3%
Odds
moneyline MIN 51% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookMINImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs BOS 5.0 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs MIN 4.5 BET ✓
BookMINBOS
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -102 U 9.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trevor Larnach RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Byron Buxton CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.9 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Brooks Lee 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.8 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.5 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Mickey Gasper 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Joe Ryan Starter 5.8 6.2 5.7 1.7 3.2 48% 100% 20.3 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.2 6.4 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.4 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.9 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.1 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.6 5.4 5.7 2.5 3.3 43% 100% 14.2 —