Arizona Diamondbacks
47% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
53% win
3
pred 4.5
2025-05-02 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Mookie Betts UTIL 19.0 $5.7k 3.3
Yoshinobu Yamamoto UTIL 27.7 $10.3k 2.7
Evan Phillips UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Will Smith UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Tanner Scott UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Freddie Freeman UTIL 5.0 $5.9k 0.9
Michael Conforto UTIL 2.0 $3.2k 0.6
Kirby Yates UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Teoscar Hernández UTIL 2.0 $5.4k 0.4
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.3 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + UNDER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
WIN
AZ 47% 53% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 77.9% 22.1%
7.5 68.0% 32.0%
8.5 60.4% 39.6%
9.5 49.2% 50.8%
10.5 41.2% 58.8%
11.5 32.6% 67.4%
12.5 27.2% 72.8%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversAZ covers
PHI -1.5 34.9% 40.3%
PHI -2.5 24.8% 31.2%
PHI -3.5 18.0% 21.7%
Team Totals
LinePHIAZ
O 3.5 64.4% 65.9%
O 4.5 50.6% 51.6%
O 5.5 36.5% 40.4%
O 6.5 26.5% 29.9%
Odds
moneyline PHI 53% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookAZImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs AZ 4.8 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs PHI 4.5 BET ✓
BookAZPHI
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Under 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -102 U 9.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ketel Marte 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.1 —
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 10.1 —
Randal Grichuk RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.6 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.3 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Josh Naylor 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Merrill Kelly Starter 5.6 5.2 5.3 2.3 3.0 47% 100% 11.7 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 12.6 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 10.5 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.8 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.4 —
Cal Stevenson CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Luzardo Starter 5.9 5.8 6.0 2.2 3.2 47% 100% 17.0 —