Washington Nationals
44% win
1
pred 4.8
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
56% win
6
pred 3.7
2025-05-02 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
José Tena OF 6.7 $2.5k 2.7
Spencer Steer OF 8.7 $3.4k 2.6
Matt McLain OF 11.0 $4.6k 2.4
Blake Dunn OF 7.1 $3.0k 2.4
Jose Trevino OF 7.9 $3.4k 2.3
Santiago Espinal OF 7.8 $3.4k 2.3
Hunter Greene SP 19.8 $8.8k 2.3
Josh Bell OF 7.1 $3.2k 2.2
Tyler Stephenson OF 9.9 $4.6k 2.2
Jacob Young OF 6.2 $3.0k 2.1
TJ Friedl OF 8.6 $4.2k 2.0
Noelvi Marte OF 9.0 $4.4k 2.0
Nathaniel Lowe OF 8.5 $4.4k 1.9
James Wood OF 9.6 $5.2k 1.9
CJ Abrams OF 9.3 $5.0k 1.9
Dylan Crews OF 6.5 $3.6k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 9.2 $5.8k 1.6
Keibert Ruiz OF 6.5 $4.3k 1.5
Mitchell Parker SP 10.2 $7.0k 1.5
Luis García OF 5.3 $3.8k 1.4
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 62%
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cincinnati Reds ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+406 · $406 per $100
LOSS
WSH 44% 56% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.2% 18.8%
6.5 73.6% 26.4%
7.5 63.7% 36.3%
8.5 55.7% 44.3%
9.5 44.7% 55.3%
10.5 37.4% 62.6%
11.5 28.2% 71.8%
12.5 21.7% 78.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversWSH covers
CIN -1.5 38.3% 33.5%
CIN -2.5 28.2% 24.5%
CIN -3.5 21.2% 17.0%
Team Totals
LineCINWSH
O 3.5 62.5% 60.1%
O 4.5 47.8% 45.8%
O 5.5 35.8% 32.7%
O 6.5 26.5% 23.2%
Odds
moneyline CIN 56% · -180 · $56 per $100
BookWSHImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +150 38.4% -180 61.6%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs WSH 4.8 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs CIN 3.7 BET ✗
BookWSHCIN
DraftKings +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +102 U 9.0 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.3 9.6 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.2 9.3 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.5 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
José Tena 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Keibert Ruiz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.5 —
Jacob Young CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
Luis García P 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitchell Parker Starter 6.3 5.6 6.2 2.4 3.3 46% 100% 10.2 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 11.0 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.9 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Noelvi Marte OF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Jose Trevino C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.9 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.8 —
Blake Dunn LF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Greene Starter 6.3 6.7 5.7 2.2 3.0 51% 100% 19.8 —