Minnesota Twins
44% win
3
pred 4.4
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
56% win
4
pred 4.8
2025-05-01 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Kody Clemens OF 7.4 $2.0k 3.7
Jhonkensy Noel OF 8.0 $2.5k 3.2
Christian Vázquez OF 6.7 $2.1k 3.2
Will Wilson OF 6.1 $2.1k 2.9
Edouard Julien OF 8.9 $3.1k 2.9
Daniel Schneemann OF 7.2 $2.8k 2.6
Ty France OF 8.0 $3.1k 2.6
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.0 $2.4k 2.5
Trevor Larnach OF 9.4 $3.8k 2.5
Carlos Correa OF 8.6 $3.5k 2.5
Brooks Lee OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.4
Simeon Woods Richardson SP 15.4 $6.8k 2.3
Ben Lively SP 12.5 $6.0k 2.1
Harrison Bader OF 6.9 $3.3k 2.1
Kyle Manzardo OF 9.2 $4.5k 2.0
Byron Buxton OF 9.7 $4.8k 2.0
Austin Hedges OF 5.6 $2.8k 2.0
Gabriel Arias OF 7.4 $4.0k 1.9
Steven Kwan OF 7.7 $4.7k 1.6
José Ramírez OF 8.5 $5.4k 1.6
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +6.6% edge
-108 · $100 bet · $93 profit
Model: 56% vs Market: 50%
WIN
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+489 · $489 per $100
LOSS
MIN 44% 56% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.0% 18.0%
6.5 75.1% 24.9%
7.5 65.2% 34.8%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 45.9% 54.1%
10.5 39.0% 61.0%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 23.9% 76.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversMIN covers
CLE -1.5 30.7% 43.0%
CLE -2.5 21.4% 33.5%
CLE -3.5 14.9% 23.4%
Team Totals
LineCLEMIN
O 3.5 56.4% 67.4%
O 4.5 44.7% 53.8%
O 5.5 32.9% 40.0%
O 6.5 22.3% 29.9%
Odds
moneyline CLE 56% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookMINImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -112 50.4% -108 49.6%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs CLE 4.8 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs MIN 4.4 BET ✓
BookMINCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -120 U 9.0 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.7 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Edouard Julien 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.9 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Kody Clemens 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.3 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Simeon Woods Richardson Starter 5.6 5.4 5.7 1.9 3.0 53% 100% 15.4 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.5 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.0 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.7 —
Gabriel Arias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.4 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Will Wilson 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
Austin Hedges C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 5.5 5.0 5.7 2.1 3.2 39% 100% 12.5 —