Arizona Diamondbacks
45% win
4
pred 4.6
FINAL
New York Mets
56% win
2
pred 3.6
2025-05-01 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jose Herrera OF 6.3 $2.3k 2.8
Mark Vientos OF 9.7 $3.6k 2.7
Jesse Winker OF 8.6 $3.4k 2.5
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.6 $2.7k 2.4
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.6 $4.0k 2.4
Pete Alonso OF 12.0 $5.5k 2.2
Luis Torrens OF 7.4 $3.4k 2.2
Jeff McNeil OF 6.8 $3.2k 2.1
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 7.2 $3.4k 2.1
Tim Tawa OF 7.1 $3.5k 2.0
Alek Thomas OF 7.1 $3.6k 2.0
Juan Soto OF 10.1 $5.1k 2.0
Francisco Lindor OF 10.2 $5.3k 1.9
Eugenio Suárez OF 8.3 $4.5k 1.9
Pavin Smith OF 8.5 $4.6k 1.9
Kodai Senga SP 16.3 $8.8k 1.9
Geraldo Perdomo OF 7.9 $4.4k 1.8
Zac Gallen SP 12.3 $7.5k 1.6
Josh Naylor OF 8.2 $5.1k 1.6
Corbin Carroll OF 9.5 $6.1k 1.6
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+399 · $399 per $100
LOSS
AZ 45% 56% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.5% 16.5%
6.5 75.8% 24.2%
7.5 66.5% 33.5%
8.5 58.0% 42.0%
9.5 47.9% 52.1%
10.5 40.1% 59.9%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 24.3% 75.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversAZ covers
NYM -1.5 41.8% 34.4%
NYM -2.5 30.7% 24.5%
NYM -3.5 22.0% 17.9%
Team Totals
LineNYMAZ
O 3.5 66.7% 61.1%
O 4.5 52.5% 47.5%
O 5.5 40.0% 34.3%
O 6.5 29.3% 24.0%
Odds
moneyline NYM 56% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookAZImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +136 40.7% -162 59.3%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs AZ 4.6 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs NYM 3.6 BET ✓
BookAZNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.1 9.5 —
Pavin Smith 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.5 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
Josh Naylor 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.9 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Jose Herrera C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zac Gallen Starter 5.9 5.9 5.8 2.4 3.3 42% 100% 12.3 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 12.0 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.2 —
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 10.1 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.7 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Luis Torrens C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kodai Senga Starter 5.9 5.9 5.2 2.6 2.9 53% 100% 16.3 —