St. Louis Cardinals
51% win
1
pred 4.5
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
49% win
9
pred 5.1
2025-05-01 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
José Barrero OF 6.4 $2.0k 3.2
Luken Baker OF 7.8 $2.5k 3.1
Yohel Pozo OF 7.3 $2.4k 3.0
Masyn Winn OF 8.7 $3.2k 2.7
Jordan Walker OF 7.9 $3.0k 2.6
Willson Contreras OF 8.8 $3.5k 2.5
Blake Dunn OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Spencer Steer OF 7.8 $3.6k 2.2
Lars Nootbaar OF 10.0 $4.7k 2.1
Jose Trevino OF 7.1 $3.5k 2.0
Santiago Espinal OF 6.6 $3.3k 2.0
Brendan Donovan OF 9.0 $4.5k 2.0
Nolan Arenado OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Andrew Abbott SP 16.2 $8.7k 1.9
Matt McLain OF 8.9 $4.8k 1.9
Matthew Liberatore SP 14.0 $7.7k 1.8
Gavin Lux OF 6.9 $3.8k 1.8
Noelvi Marte OF 7.2 $4.0k 1.8
TJ Friedl OF 7.5 $4.3k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 7.5 $6.0k 1.3
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+478 · $478 per $100
LOSS
STL 51% 49% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.7% 17.3%
6.5 77.3% 22.7%
7.5 68.2% 31.8%
8.5 60.0% 40.0%
9.5 50.3% 49.7%
10.5 43.5% 56.5%
11.5 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 27.0% 73.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversSTL covers
CIN -1.5 32.9% 41.8%
CIN -2.5 25.1% 31.3%
CIN -3.5 17.6% 22.5%
Team Totals
LineCINSTL
O 3.5 63.2% 65.7%
O 4.5 49.5% 52.8%
O 5.5 35.5% 42.3%
O 6.5 25.2% 31.9%
Odds
moneyline STL 51% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookSTLImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs CIN 5.1 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs STL 4.5 BET ✓
BookSTLCIN
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -110 U 9.0 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.0 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.0 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Luken Baker 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.8 —
Yohel Pozo C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.3 —
José Barrero SS 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Liberatore Starter 6.1 5.7 6.2 2.1 3.3 50% 100% 14.0 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Noelvi Marte OF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Jose Trevino C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Blake Dunn LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Abbott Starter 5.1 4.9 5.0 2.2 2.9 41% 100% 16.2 —