Arizona Diamondbacks
53% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
New York Mets
47% win
3
pred 4.1
2025-04-30 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 25.0 $2.5k 10.0
Mark Vientos UTIL 16.0 $3.4k 4.7
Jorge Barrosa UTIL 9.0 $2.0k 4.5
Brandon Waddell UTIL 16.0 $4.0k 4.0
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 14.0 $4.4k 3.2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 10.0 $3.3k 3.0
Huascar Brazobán UTIL 9.9 $4.0k 2.5
Gabriel Moreno UTIL 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Jeff McNeil UTIL 7.0 $3.0k 2.3
Francisco Lindor UTIL 12.0 $5.2k 2.3
Corbin Burnes UTIL 16.1 $9.0k 1.8
Pete Alonso UTIL 8.0 $5.3k 1.5
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Josh Naylor UTIL 5.0 $5.1k 1.0
Ryan Thompson UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Shelby Miller UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Chris Devenski UTIL 2.7 $4.0k 0.7
Jesse Winker UTIL 2.0 $3.2k 0.6
Francisco Alvarez UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Alek Thomas UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Kevin Ginkel UTIL 2.2 $4.0k 0.5
Juan Soto UTIL 2.0 $5.2k 0.4
Jalen Beeks UTIL 0.9 $7.7k 0.1
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
WIN
New York Mets +1.5
RL · 1.2 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + New York Mets +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
WIN
AZ 53% 47% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.0% 19.0%
6.5 74.9% 25.1%
7.5 64.2% 35.8%
8.5 55.3% 44.7%
9.5 45.4% 54.6%
10.5 38.4% 61.6%
11.5 29.9% 70.1%
12.5 24.2% 75.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversAZ covers
NYM -1.5 37.3% 33.7%
NYM -2.5 27.6% 22.6%
NYM -3.5 18.7% 16.7%
Team Totals
LineNYMAZ
O 3.5 65.3% 58.0%
O 4.5 51.3% 45.6%
O 5.5 37.5% 35.1%
O 6.5 25.7% 26.4%
Odds
moneyline AZ 53% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookAZImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline New York Mets +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs NYM 4.1 no bet
NYM +1.5: NYM 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs AZ 4.4 BET ✓
BookAZNYM
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 10.0 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.2 —
Randal Grichuk RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.1 8.5 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Josh Naylor 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Jorge Barrosa LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.5 —
Garrett Hampson CF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Burnes Starter 5.7 5.6 5.6 2.1 3.1 42% 100% 14.9 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 10.2 —
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 10.1 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.7 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Huascar Brazobán Starter 4.1 4.0 3.6 1.8 1.9 18% 100% 10.9 —