Boston Red Sox
52% win
6
pred 4.5
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
48% win
7
pred 4.9
2025-04-30 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Alejandro Kirk UTIL 19.0 $3.0k 6.3
Carlos Narváez UTIL 16.0 $2.8k 5.7
Daulton Varsho UTIL 21.0 $4.0k 5.3
Anthony Santander UTIL 18.0 $4.0k 4.5
Jeff Hoffman UTIL 14.5 $4.0k 3.6
Jarren Duran UTIL 17.0 $5.2k 3.3
Alex Bregman UTIL 16.0 $5.0k 3.2
Ernie Clement UTIL 8.0 $2.5k 3.2
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 11.0 $3.5k 3.1
Rafael Devers UTIL 14.0 $4.7k 3.0
Lucas Giolito UTIL 17.3 $7.5k 2.3
George Springer UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Eric Lauer UTIL 9.4 $6.0k 1.6
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 7.0 $4.8k 1.5
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. UTIL 7.0 $4.9k 1.4
Brendon Little UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Bo Bichette UTIL 6.0 $4.3k 1.4
Yimi García UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Aroldis Chapman UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Triston Casas UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Justin Slaten UTIL 0.2 $4.0k 0.0
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
UNDER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.4 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + UNDER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+470 · $470 per $100
LOSS
BOS 52% 48% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.6% 15.4%
6.5 79.3% 20.7%
7.5 70.5% 29.5%
8.5 63.3% 36.7%
9.5 52.2% 47.8%
10.5 44.3% 55.7%
11.5 35.5% 64.5%
12.5 28.9% 71.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversBOS covers
TOR -1.5 33.5% 39.6%
TOR -2.5 24.9% 31.0%
TOR -3.5 17.1% 23.5%
Team Totals
LineTORBOS
O 3.5 64.0% 67.0%
O 4.5 51.0% 56.2%
O 5.5 38.9% 42.3%
O 6.5 26.5% 32.0%
Odds
moneyline BOS 52% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookBOSImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs TOR 4.9 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs BOS 4.5 BET ✓
BookBOSTOR
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Under 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -102 U 9.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.0 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.1 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.5 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.6 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 5.5 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lucas Giolito Starter 5.2 4.9 5.3 1.9 3.0 46% 100% 17.0 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
George Springer RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Daulton Varsho CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Alejandro Kirk C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.0 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.4 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yariel Rodríguez Starter 3.9 3.8 3.7 1.8 2.2 13% 100% 12.9 —