New York Yankees
54% win
4
pred 4.7
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
46% win
5
pred 5.5
2025-04-30 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ramón Urías UTIL 17.0 $3.0k 5.7
Ryan Mountcastle UTIL 16.0 $3.7k 4.3
Aaron Judge UTIL 26.0 $6.3k 4.1
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 14.0 $4.2k 3.3
Heston Kjerstad UTIL 11.0 $3.4k 3.2
Fernando Cruz UTIL 11.8 $4.0k 2.9
Adley Rutschman UTIL 12.0 $4.9k 2.5
Bryan Baker UTIL 9.7 $4.0k 2.4
Jackson Holliday UTIL 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Gunnar Henderson UTIL 10.0 $5.1k 2.0
Trent Grisham UTIL 7.0 $3.6k 1.9
Oswald Peraza UTIL 4.0 $2.5k 1.6
Mark Leiter Jr. UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Anthony Volpe UTIL 5.0 $4.2k 1.2
Félix Bautista UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Cade Povich UTIL 5.5 $5.5k 1.0
Ryan O'Hearn UTIL 4.0 $4.3k 0.9
Pablo Reyes UTIL 2.0 $2.2k 0.9
Devin Williams UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Austin Wells UTIL 3.0 $3.7k 0.8
Keegan Akin UTIL 4.5 $5.5k 0.8
Cedric Mullins UTIL 3.0 $5.6k 0.5
Yennier Cano UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Gregory Soto UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Seranthony Domínguez UTIL 0.2 $4.0k 0.0
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.2 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+478 · $478 per $100
LOSS
NYY 54% 46% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.4% 12.6%
6.5 82.0% 18.0%
7.5 74.0% 26.0%
8.5 66.5% 33.5%
9.5 57.0% 43.0%
10.5 48.6% 51.4%
11.5 39.2% 60.8%
12.5 32.6% 67.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversNYY covers
BAL -1.5 30.5% 44.3%
BAL -2.5 21.1% 34.2%
BAL -3.5 15.1% 26.3%
Team Totals
LineBALNYY
O 3.5 64.8% 73.4%
O 4.5 50.5% 60.3%
O 5.5 37.5% 49.2%
O 6.5 28.3% 39.5%
Odds
moneyline NYY 54% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookNYYImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BAL 5.5 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs NYY 4.7 BET ✓
BookNYYBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -105 U 9.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 14.3 —
Trent Grisham CF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.8 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.8 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.3 —
Anthony Volpe SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Pablo Reyes LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Carrasco Starter 5.2 4.8 5.4 1.9 3.1 47% 100% 9.8 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.8 —
Cedric Mullins CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 10.8 —
Adley Rutschman C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.2 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.9 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cade Povich Starter 5.4 5.6 5.9 2.5 3.6 40% 100% 11.2 —