Minnesota Twins

45% win

pred 4

FINAL

Cleveland Guardians

55% win

pred 4.1

2025-04-30 Progressive Field 0°F

Best Bets

Cleveland Guardians

ML ★★ · +8.9% edge

+110 · $200 bet · $220 profit

Model: 55% vs Market: 46%

WIN

Predictions

Cleveland Guardians

ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 46%

+110 · $110 per $100

WIN

Cleveland Guardians +1.5

RL · 1.7 off line

-162 · $62 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.0

TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+548 · $548 per $100

LOSS

MIN 45% 55% CLE

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	78.6%	21.4%
6.5	72.4%	27.6%
7.5	60.9%	39.1%
8.5	52.6%	47.4%
9.5	40.1%	59.9%
10.5	33.6%	66.4%
11.5	25.7%	74.3%
12.5	19.3%	80.7%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CLE covers	MIN covers
CLE -1.5	36.6%	36.7%
CLE -2.5	27.0%	27.2%
CLE -3.5	18.6%	19.3%

Team Totals

Line	CLE	MIN
O 3.5	59.3%	58.5%
O 4.5	46.9%	45.8%
O 5.5	32.3%	33.7%
O 6.5	22.3%	22.6%

Odds

moneyline CLE 55% · +110 · $110 per $100

Book	MIN	Impl%	CLE	Impl%
DraftKings	-130	54.3%	+110	45.7%

runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100

MIN -1.5: MIN 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs CLE 4.1 no bet

CLE +1.5: CLE 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs MIN 4.0 BET ✓

Book	MIN		CLE
DraftKings	-1.5	+136	+1.5	-162

total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.0 -118	U 7.0 -102

Player Projections actual (projected)

Minnesota Twins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Byron Buxton	CF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.4	1.1	8.4	—
Trevor Larnach	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.0	8.0	—
Carlos Correa	SS	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Kody Clemens	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.8	—
Mickey Gasper	2B	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.6	1.1	7.6	—
Ty France	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.3	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.1	—
Brooks Lee	3B	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.7	6.5	—
DaShawn Keirsey Jr.	CF	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.8	5.4	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Pablo López	Starter	5.8	5.6	5.7	2.0	3.0	48%	100%	18.0	—

Cleveland Guardians

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
José Ramírez	3B	1.1	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.3	0.7	8.2	—
Nolan Jones	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	7.9	—
Steven Kwan	LF	1.2	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	7.5	—
Carlos Santana	1B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.3	—
Kyle Manzardo	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.1	—
Bo Naylor	C	0.8	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	6.6	—
Gabriel Arias	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.5	—
Daniel Schneemann	2B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.1	6.0	—
Angel Martínez	CF	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.8	5.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Luis Ortiz	Starter	6.0	5.5	5.5	2.5	3.0	48%	100%	16.4	—