Detroit Tigers
46% win
7
pred 4.6
FINAL
Houston Astros
54% win
4
pred 4.2
2025-04-30 Daikin Park 0°F
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
DET 46% 54% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 76.5% 23.5%
6.5 68.6% 31.4%
7.5 58.8% 41.2%
8.5 49.9% 50.1%
9.5 40.5% 59.5%
10.5 34.3% 65.7%
11.5 25.6% 74.4%
12.5 20.2% 79.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversDET covers
HOU -1.5 37.7% 34.0%
HOU -2.5 26.1% 25.4%
HOU -3.5 17.8% 18.4%
Team Totals
LineHOUDET
O 3.5 58.3% 55.6%
O 4.5 44.1% 43.8%
O 5.5 30.6% 32.1%
O 6.5 21.3% 22.9%
Odds
moneyline HOU 54% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookDETImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs DET 4.6 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs HOU 4.2 BET ✓
BookDETHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.9 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.0 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Tomás Nido C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.9 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.1 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Jobe Starter 5.1 4.2 4.8 2.2 2.6 39% 100% 9.7 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Christian Walker 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 8.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.4 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.4 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
AJ Blubaugh Starter 5.3 5.5 5.2 2.1 2.6 49% 100% 11.3 —