St. Louis Cardinals
50% win
6
pred 5.1
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
50% win
0
pred 4.5
2025-04-30 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Willson Contreras UTIL 23.0 $3.3k 7.0
Pedro Pagés UTIL 16.0 $3.1k 5.2
Santiago Espinal UTIL 13.0 $3.2k 4.1
Masyn Winn UTIL 12.0 $3.2k 3.8
Jordan Walker UTIL 11.0 $3.0k 3.7
Garrett Hampson UTIL 8.0 $2.4k 3.3
Brent Suter UTIL 11.7 $4.0k 2.9
Gordon Graceffo UTIL 22.1 $7.8k 2.8
Steven Matz UTIL 18.0 $7.8k 2.3
Matt McLain UTIL 8.0 $4.8k 1.7
Lyon Richardson UTIL 10.8 $6.6k 1.6
Brendan Donovan UTIL 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 8.0 $6.0k 1.3
Victor Scott II UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Nolan Gorman UTIL 4.0 $3.6k 1.1
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 4.0 $4.5k 0.9
Spencer Steer UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+420 · $420 per $100
LOSS
STL 50% 50% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.1% 14.9%
6.5 78.1% 21.9%
7.5 68.9% 31.1%
8.5 61.3% 38.7%
9.5 51.9% 48.1%
10.5 44.5% 55.5%
11.5 35.4% 64.6%
12.5 29.2% 70.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversSTL covers
CIN -1.5 37.6% 37.4%
CIN -2.5 28.5% 28.6%
CIN -3.5 21.6% 21.3%
Team Totals
LineCINSTL
O 3.5 66.8% 64.5%
O 4.5 52.3% 51.3%
O 5.5 39.4% 38.7%
O 6.5 29.7% 30.4%
Odds
moneyline CIN 50% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookSTLImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs STL 5.1 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs CIN 4.5 BET ✓
BookSTLCIN
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 +102 U 9.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 11.1 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.4 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 8.9 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Masyn Winn SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.9 —
Yohel Pozo C — — — — — — — 6.9 —
Victor Scott II CF — — — — — — — 6.5 —
José Barrero SS — — — — — — — 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Miles Mikolas Starter — — — — — — — 9.8 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 11.6 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.1 10.5 —
Gavin Lux 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.6 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Noelvi Marte OF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Jose Trevino C — — — — — — — 8.1 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 5.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brady Singer Starter — — — — — — — 14.5 —