Detroit Tigers
50% win
4
pred 4.3
FINAL
Houston Astros
50% win
6
pred 5
2025-04-29 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gleyber Torres UTIL 29.0 $4.5k 6.4
Kerry Carpenter UTIL 21.0 $3.8k 5.5
Isaac Paredes UTIL 18.0 $3.7k 4.9
Yainer Diaz UTIL 12.0 $3.0k 4.0
Christian Walker UTIL 14.0 $3.5k 4.0
Bennett Sousa UTIL 13.2 $4.0k 3.3
Zach McKinstry UTIL 13.0 $4.0k 3.3
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 5.0 $2.2k 2.3
Reese Olson UTIL 16.6 $7.7k 2.2
Jeremy Peña UTIL 7.0 $3.7k 1.9
Ryan Gusto UTIL 13.6 $7.2k 1.9
Jace Jung UTIL 4.0 $2.3k 1.7
Yordan Alvarez UTIL 7.0 $4.8k 1.5
Spencer Torkelson UTIL 6.0 $4.6k 1.3
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Jake Meyers UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Jose Altuve UTIL 4.0 $4.7k 0.9
Riley Greene UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Bryan Abreu UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Best Bets
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.8 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.3 vs Line: 7.5
WIN
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.3 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+431 · $431 per $100
WIN
DET 50% 50% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.0% 19.0%
6.5 73.7% 26.3%
7.5 61.7% 38.3%
8.5 51.9% 48.1%
9.5 41.5% 58.5%
10.5 35.8% 64.2%
11.5 26.9% 73.1%
12.5 21.7% 78.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversDET covers
HOU -1.5 34.1% 37.0%
HOU -2.5 24.6% 27.5%
HOU -3.5 17.2% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineHOUDET
O 3.5 59.6% 60.7%
O 4.5 45.5% 46.9%
O 5.5 32.6% 35.3%
O 6.5 21.7% 25.5%
Odds
moneyline HOU 50% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookDETImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs HOU 5.0 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs DET 4.3 BET ✓
BookDETHOU
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.0 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.0 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.9 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.8 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.4 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Reese Olson Starter 5.7 5.2 5.7 2.0 2.9 47% 100% 14.0 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.2 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.0 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.5 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.3 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Gusto Starter 4.8 5.0 4.8 1.6 2.5 39% 100% 12.4 —