Boston Red Sox
55% win
10
pred 3.5
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
45% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-04-29 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 28.0 $4.8k 5.8
Kristian Campbell UTIL 23.0 $4.3k 5.4
Alex Bregman UTIL 24.0 $5.0k 4.8
Bo Bichette UTIL 15.0 $4.2k 3.6
Rafael Devers UTIL 16.0 $4.7k 3.4
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. UTIL 16.0 $4.9k 3.3
Jarren Duran UTIL 16.0 $5.2k 3.1
Triston Casas UTIL 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Garrett Crochet UTIL 23.6 $10.5k 2.2
Mason Fluharty UTIL 8.5 $4.0k 2.1
Brennan Bernardino UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Trevor Story UTIL 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Ernie Clement UTIL 3.0 $2.5k 1.2
Carlos Narváez UTIL 3.0 $2.8k 1.1
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Luis Guerrero UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Daulton Varsho UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Anthony Santander UTIL 2.0 $4.2k 0.5
George Springer UTIL 2.0 $4.5k 0.4
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+454 · $454 per $100
LOSS
BOS 55% 45% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 74.5% 25.5%
7.5 63.7% 36.3%
8.5 55.0% 45.0%
9.5 43.8% 56.2%
10.5 35.3% 64.7%
11.5 26.9% 73.1%
12.5 20.2% 79.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversBOS covers
TOR -1.5 29.2% 44.1%
TOR -2.5 19.8% 32.6%
TOR -3.5 13.7% 24.3%
Team Totals
LineTORBOS
O 3.5 55.5% 65.0%
O 4.5 39.3% 52.5%
O 5.5 27.0% 40.8%
O 6.5 18.8% 29.8%
Odds
moneyline BOS 55% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookBOSImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -142 56.3% +120 43.7%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs TOR 4.5 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs BOS 3.5 BET ✗
BookBOSTOR
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.4 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 6.3 6.7 5.9 2.3 2.9 56% 100% 17.6 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.4 —
George Springer RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Daulton Varsho CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.6 —
Myles Straw CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bowden Francis Starter 5.8 5.6 5.4 2.2 3.1 40% 100% 17.2 —