New York Yankees
47% win
15
pred 3.6
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
53% win
3
pred 6
2025-04-29 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Trent Grisham OF 12.7 $3.6k 3.5
Ramón Laureano OF 7.6 $2.3k 3.3
Dylan Carlson OF 6.1 $2.0k 3.1
Oswaldo Cabrera OF 8.9 $3.0k 3.0
Jorge Mateo OF 6.5 $2.2k 3.0
Ramón Urías OF 8.1 $2.8k 2.9
Emmanuel Rivera OF 7.0 $2.6k 2.7
Austin Wells OF 10.2 $3.8k 2.7
Ben Rice OF 12.1 $4.7k 2.6
Jazz Chisholm Jr. OF 12.0 $4.7k 2.6
Paul Goldschmidt OF 10.1 $4.0k 2.5
Anthony Volpe OF 10.2 $4.1k 2.5
Cody Bellinger OF 10.7 $4.5k 2.4
Ryan Mountcastle OF 8.4 $3.7k 2.3
Carlos Rodón SP 18.2 $8.0k 2.3
Aaron Judge OF 13.8 $6.3k 2.2
Gunnar Henderson OF 9.2 $5.2k 1.8
Cedric Mullins OF 9.1 $5.6k 1.6
Adley Rutschman OF 8.1 $5.0k 1.6
Kyle Gibson SP 10.5 $7.0k 1.5
Best Bets
Baltimore Orioles
ML ★★★ ELITE · +10.0% edge
+124 · $300 bet · $372 profit
Model: 53% vs Market: 43%
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.9 off line
-125 · $300 bet · $240 profit
Model: 6.0 - 3.6
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles + Baltimore Orioles +1.5
SGP ★★★ ELITE · 2-leg same-game parlay
+303 · $300 bet · $909 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 43%
+124 · $124 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 3.9 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+670 · $670 per $100
LOSS
NYY 47% 53% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.1% 16.9%
6.5 76.6% 23.4%
7.5 66.1% 33.9%
8.5 59.3% 40.7%
9.5 49.2% 50.8%
10.5 42.1% 57.9%
11.5 33.7% 66.3%
12.5 27.7% 72.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversNYY covers
BAL -1.5 28.0% 46.9%
BAL -2.5 20.2% 38.3%
BAL -3.5 13.1% 29.0%
Team Totals
LineBALNYY
O 3.5 57.7% 68.3%
O 4.5 45.4% 57.3%
O 5.5 30.7% 46.1%
O 6.5 21.8% 35.5%
Odds
moneyline BAL 53% · +124 · $124 per $100
BookNYYImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs BAL 6.0 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 6.0 + 1.5 = 7.5 vs NYY 3.6 BET ✗
BookNYYBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -110 U 9.5 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 13.8 —
Trent Grisham CF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 12.7 —
Ben Rice 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 12.1 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.0 12.0 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 10.7 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.2 —
Austin Wells C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.2 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.1 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Rodón Starter 6.1 6.4 5.4 2.4 3.0 56% 100% 18.2 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 9.2 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.1 9.1 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.1 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.6 —
Emmanuel Rivera 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Jorge Mateo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Dylan Carlson LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Gibson Starter 5.2 5.1 5.2 2.2 3.0 38% 100% 10.5 —