St. Louis Cardinals
45% win
1
pred 4.9
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
55% win
3
pred 5.3
2025-04-28 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gavin Lux UTIL 17.0 $3.7k 4.6
Jose Trevino UTIL 14.0 $3.3k 4.2
Noelvi Marte UTIL 14.0 $3.8k 3.7
Nick Martinez UTIL 17.3 $7.3k 2.4
Nolan Arenado UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Pedro Pagés UTIL 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 7.0 $4.6k 1.5
Matt McLain UTIL 8.0 $5.3k 1.5
Andre Pallante UTIL 10.7 $7.5k 1.4
Graham Ashcraft UTIL 8.3 $7.0k 1.2
Tony Santillan UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Blake Dunn UTIL 3.0 $3.0k 1.0
Jordan Walker UTIL 3.0 $3.0k 1.0
Austin Hays UTIL 4.0 $4.3k 0.9
Willson Contreras UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Elly De La Cruz UTIL 5.0 $6.0k 0.8
John King UTIL 2.4 $4.0k 0.6
Emilio Pagán UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Victor Scott II UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Brendan Donovan UTIL 2.0 $4.3k 0.5
TJ Friedl UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.2 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+439 · $439 per $100
LOSS
STL 45% 55% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.9% 16.1%
6.5 77.6% 22.4%
7.5 69.4% 30.6%
8.5 62.6% 37.4%
9.5 51.7% 48.3%
10.5 44.4% 55.6%
11.5 35.5% 64.5%
12.5 28.2% 71.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversSTL covers
CIN -1.5 38.8% 35.0%
CIN -2.5 28.4% 25.0%
CIN -3.5 19.9% 16.9%
Team Totals
LineCINSTL
O 3.5 69.3% 64.4%
O 4.5 55.4% 48.9%
O 5.5 42.3% 36.9%
O 6.5 31.3% 26.5%
Odds
moneyline CIN 55% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookSTLImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
STL -1.5: STL 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs CIN 5.3 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs STL 4.9 BET ✓
BookSTLCIN
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -108 U 9.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 11.4 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.2 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.6 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.1 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andre Pallante Starter 5.5 4.8 5.7 2.3 3.2 41% 100% 12.9 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 10.5 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Gavin Lux 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Blake Dunn LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.4 —
Noelvi Marte OF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Jose Trevino C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Martinez Starter 5.8 5.4 5.9 2.0 3.1 51% 100% 14.5 —