New York Yankees
55% win
3
pred 3.7
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
45% win
4
pred 5.3
2025-04-28 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ramón Laureano UTIL 17.0 $2.3k 7.4
Ryan O'Hearn UTIL 18.0 $4.2k 4.3
Tomoyuki Sugano UTIL 27.1 $6.5k 4.2
Anthony Volpe UTIL 9.0 $4.2k 2.1
Austin Wells UTIL 7.0 $3.8k 1.8
Ryan Yarbrough UTIL 12.5 $6.8k 1.8
Oswaldo Cabrera UTIL 5.0 $2.8k 1.8
Gunnar Henderson UTIL 9.0 $5.2k 1.7
Trent Grisham UTIL 6.0 $3.5k 1.7
Félix Bautista UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Jackson Holliday UTIL 5.0 $3.6k 1.4
Cedric Mullins UTIL 8.0 $5.8k 1.4
Keegan Akin UTIL 9.0 $6.5k 1.4
Adley Rutschman UTIL 7.0 $5.1k 1.4
Aaron Judge UTIL 8.0 $6.3k 1.3
Paul Goldschmidt UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Cody Bellinger UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Devin Williams UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jasson Domínguez UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Will Warren UTIL 4.7 $6.8k 0.7
Jazz Chisholm Jr. UTIL 2.0 $4.9k 0.4
Gregory Soto UTIL 1.2 $4.0k 0.3
Predictions
New York Yankees
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 3.0 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Yankees ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+476 · $476 per $100
LOSS
NYY 55% 45% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.0% 12.0%
6.5 81.9% 18.1%
7.5 72.5% 27.5%
8.5 64.3% 35.7%
9.5 54.3% 45.7%
10.5 46.5% 53.5%
11.5 36.8% 63.2%
12.5 30.0% 70.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversNYY covers
BAL -1.5 33.4% 39.8%
BAL -2.5 23.7% 31.3%
BAL -3.5 17.9% 22.0%
Team Totals
LineBALNYY
O 3.5 67.4% 69.8%
O 4.5 52.9% 55.9%
O 5.5 39.5% 43.3%
O 6.5 29.0% 32.3%
Odds
moneyline NYY 55% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookNYYImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs BAL 5.3 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs NYY 3.7 BET ✓
BookNYYBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -115 U 9.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 13.6 —
Trent Grisham CF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 11.5 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.8 11.2 —
Cody Bellinger LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.9 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.7 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 9.2 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.0 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Oswald Peraza 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 8.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Will Warren Starter 4.8 4.8 5.0 2.1 2.9 38% 100% 13.6 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cedric Mullins CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 9.6 —
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano Starter 5.8 4.3 5.9 2.0 3.4 46% 100% 9.6 —