Minnesota Twins
40% win
11
pred 4.4
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
60% win
1
pred 3.9
2025-04-28 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Mickey Gasper OF 6.0 $2.0k 3.0
Jhonkensy Noel OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Bo Naylor OF 7.3 $2.6k 2.8
Jonah Bride OF 6.0 $2.3k 2.6
Edouard Julien OF 7.2 $2.9k 2.5
Gavin Williams SP 19.0 $7.7k 2.5
Nolan Jones OF 7.7 $3.3k 2.3
Ty France OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Brayan Rocchio OF 5.3 $2.4k 2.2
Trevor Larnach OF 7.9 $3.6k 2.2
Bailey Ober SP 16.7 $7.9k 2.1
Carlos Correa OF 7.1 $3.4k 2.1
Ryan Jeffers OF 6.9 $3.5k 2.0
Carlos Santana OF 8.0 $4.1k 1.9
Harrison Bader OF 5.6 $3.2k 1.8
Kyle Manzardo OF 7.8 $4.7k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 8.1 $4.9k 1.7
Gabriel Arias OF 6.6 $4.0k 1.7
Byron Buxton OF 7.9 $4.8k 1.6
José Ramírez OF 8.4 $5.4k 1.6
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +6.4% edge
-125 · $100 bet · $80 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 53%
LOSS
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
MIN 40% 60% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.8% 22.2%
6.5 71.5% 28.5%
7.5 61.4% 38.6%
8.5 52.6% 47.4%
9.5 42.9% 57.1%
10.5 35.0% 65.0%
11.5 26.7% 73.3%
12.5 20.6% 79.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversMIN covers
CLE -1.5 36.3% 35.6%
CLE -2.5 27.2% 26.3%
CLE -3.5 17.4% 18.7%
Team Totals
LineCLEMIN
O 3.5 58.4% 60.4%
O 4.5 47.2% 45.1%
O 5.5 33.7% 33.7%
O 6.5 25.1% 22.9%
Odds
moneyline CLE 60% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookMINImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs MIN 4.4 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs CLE 3.9 BET ✓
BookMINCLE
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.9 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 7.2 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.9 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.0 —
Mickey Gasper 2B 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.0 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Ober Starter 5.6 5.4 5.4 1.8 3.0 44% 100% 16.7 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 8.4 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.1 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Nolan Jones 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.7 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.1 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.6 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gavin Williams Starter 5.9 6.1 5.5 2.6 3.0 49% 100% 19.0 —